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The TSS Official Lomachenko-Rigondeaux Prediction Page

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  • The TSS Official Lomachenko-Rigondeaux Prediction Page

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    BY ARNE K. LANG

    We surveyed members of our editorial staff to get their thoughts on the historic Lomachenko-Rigondeaux fight being staged Saturday in the Theater at Madison Square Garden. Consistent with the odds, there was a Lomachenko tilt but his Cuban adversary also drew support. The respondents are listed alphabetically.

    Lomachenko TKO8 in a fight he dominates from the opening bell. Coming up two weight classes, ring age and a questionable set of whiskers are just too many negatives for Rigondeaux to overcome against such a skilled guy as Lomachenko. – MATT ANDRZEJEWSKI

    I’m going with Lomachenko. He is the bigger guy and has plenty of experience against the Cuban style. Lomachenko by decision. – DAVID AVILA

    Styles make fights, and although Lomachenko has the instincts of an action fighter, his skill set, and that of Rigondeaux, almost dictate a dual display of beautiful boxing. Loma's most obvious advantages are his youth and more varied attack options. I see him winning by unanimous decision, but maybe not as wide as the Ukrainian's devotees expect. – BERNARD FERNANDEZ

    Rigo UD. Call it a hunch but I think Rigo will decision Loma in a relatively close but dirtier fight than expected. At the very highest levels of boxing mastery, I don't think Lomachenko has the creativity to deal with a motivated Rigondeaux. Orlando Salido showed us what the squeaky clean sportsman Loma truly lacks when the going gets rough in there. If hit after the bell or below the belt by the Cuban Jackal, will Loma return fire with fire or go down in flames again? – JEFFREY FREEMAN

    Rigondeaux is two weight divisions below Lomachenko, eight years older, and has fought three rounds in the past 24 months. Vasyl put the matter in perspective after dominating Miguel Marriaga when he said, “Rigondeaux, I think it looks the same as this one.” I agree. – THOMAS HAUSER

    I am going to go out on a limb and say Rigo surprises. Lomachenko sometimes relies on what I like to call "channeling Maxie Rosenbloom" and that is that he volume slaps when he’s not shooting off hard punches. As for Rigo, almost everything he throws is with wicked intent. If Rigo catches Loma with a bomb while Loma is dancing around and piling up the points, things could get real serious real quick. – MIGUEL ITURRATE

    Lomachenko SD 12. It’s hard to pick against a guy who hasn’t tasted defeat in 14 years, but 37 is awful old for a boxer in a lower weight class. True, Rigo has answered the bell for only 108 rounds as a pro, but add in those 450-plus amateur fights and he has to be on the wrong side of the hill. – ARNE LANG

    Lomachenko’s physicality will be the difference. The only way Rigondeaux can win is by stoppage and I don’t see that happening – FRANK LOTIERZO (Editor’s note: Frank will be examining the match in greater detail in his next article.)

    Rigondeaux by late stoppage. I think Rigo will be able to counter Lomachenko's aggressive attacks and potshot him enough to daze Lomachenko as the rounds wear on, and ultimately Loma will be too aggressive for his own good against the very hard punching Cuban. – KELSEY McCARSON

    With two weight classes separating them, Lomachenko must be regarded as the prohibitive favorite but, in truth, even if they were the same size I'd favor Lomachenko. Presumably Rigondeaux will look to stay ahead of his larger foe while landing jabs. I look forwards to seeing Vasyl solve this particular problem, but he will solve it, probably before the end of the tenth. – MATT McGRAIN

    We've seen people changing their minds again and again about this fight, and I have not been the exception. Lomachenko’s superb performances have come against extremely sub-par opposition. The talent is there, of course, but Rigo is far more proved at the professional level, and he knows fully well what this win will do to his legacy. Coming up in weight will also benefit Rigo, the lighter fighter in a fight in which speed and mobility will be a huge key. I see Rigo starting strong and finishing stronger while relinquishing his control in a few middle rounds to earn a close, 7-5 decision. – DIEGO MORILLA

    I see Loma winning by late stoppage due to his superior size, more savvy corner, better chin, and superior stamina. – TED SARES

    Lomachenko's knockout ratio and Rigondeaux's potentially vulnerable chin make the Ukrainian a solid favorite in this southpaw special, but don't forget that "The Jackal" has more experience and has always found a way to win so if Rigo is uncommonly aggressive we could see a sloppy surprise. The ref will be kept busy in a battle that will probably come down to age, which also favors Lomachenko. – PHIL WOOLEVER

    Illustration by Rob Ayala. To see more of Ayala’s comic book commentary geared toward boxing check out fight posium.

    Check out more boxing news on video at The Boxing Channel.

  • #2
    Lomanchenko, will explain later and try not to use 5000 words... Anything is possible with Rigo but it's unlikely. Like Pernell Whitacre beating Roy Jones in his prime.

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    • #3
      Rigondeaux is the overall better fighter, but I think he's too small to overcome Lomachenko's physical advantages....hope I'm wrong.

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      • #4
        Ditto, an upset would "Shock the World"!!!

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        • #5
          Originally posted by brownsugar1 View Post
          Ditto, an upset would "Shock the World"!!!
          I would love to be shocked!!!

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          • #6
            Rigo's smart and skilled enough to pull out the win by either split or majority decision.

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            • #7
              I am a bit surprised to see how many people are picking Rigo. Many experts on social media are also backing him.

              To me, this is an easy fight and easy night's work for Lomachenko. Too big, too quick and too skilled.

              Also, lets go back three years to when Rigo fought Hisashi Amagasa. Rigo did not look good that night and started to show his age in spots during that bout. He was also hurt and dropped in round seven. Chinks in the armor of Rigo began to sprout...since then he has had just three fights. One against a very overmatched Drian Francisco in which Rigo easily won every round but really did not look sharp. And two fights that ended prematurely. So not much sense the Amagasa fight. Is he getting old (what is Rigo's really age) and could this show on Saturday? I think so and I think we see a one sided fight in favor of Lomachenko.

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              • #8
                Agreed... It's not even about watching Lomachenko toss up 5 coins in the air and snatching them all out of the air one by one. Or the fact that his dad made him take ballet and gymnastics for 3 years before he was even allowed too lace on a pair of boxing gloves. Or even the fact that he will be moving up to 135 immediately after the fight. Even Golovkin would struggle at 168, the same way Loma sruggled with overweight-veteran and expert "rule breaker" Orlando Salido during his "green years".
                Rigo is an entire generation older (possibly 40 years old) and can still make bantam weight if he wanted to.

                But hey .....its only boxing predictions....so its not that serious. One thing in Rigo's favor, he will break bones and fight like a cornered wolverine if he's crowded in a hasty manner.
                If these guys weren't so far out of alignment in every category that matters, weight, age, and each fighter being at different ends of their careers I would be more hopefull for Rigo. ...but this I boxing .... Miraculously Rigo still has his impossibly well preserved assets....but how well will they work when he is put through the ultimate test. Will Rigo take the red pill? (Quit after taking what appears to be just enough punishment to earn a check?) Or will he take the blue pill? (Take Loma to the limit, by fighting with every ounce of the Cuban 🏫 know how?)...Can anyone escape the matrix.
                Last edited by brownsugar1; 12-07-2017, 01:34 AM.

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                • #9
                  If it's such a mismatch for so many reasons, why are we so excited?

                  Rigo is too old and too small and too ______ to win?

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                  • #10
                    Going with Loma but Rigo can get the knockout. I am not laying 400 to get 100 on Loma. The Cuban school is not easily defeated at all. My money is staying in my pocket on this one and I can't wait to see a top notch fight. Rigo can pull it off. Loma also has to stay at 138 the day of the fight. Rigo can have a steak a bowl of pasta and some strong Cuban coffee.

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                    • #11
                      Originally posted by KO Digest View Post
                      If it's such a mismatch for so many reasons, why are we so excited?

                      Rigo is too old and too small and too ______ to win?
                      Honestly, I am more excited for Salido-Roman. I don't give Rigo too much of a chance here. Also keep in mind Lomachenko along with Crawford are Top Rank's cash cows post Pac. And Top Rank used to have Rigo. I sense they know something and would have steered Lomachenko a different direction if the risk was high. The Amagasa fight is very telling for Rigo in my opinion. He started to really show his age (I am guessing between 42-44). Easy work for Lomachenko.

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                      • #12
                        Rigo dominated and stopped? I really don't understand how.

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                        • #13
                          Enjoying the banter. Would love to be in MSG on Saturday night, but the selfish part of me hopes Oubobcat is correct and the show in Vegas (where I'll be) will be more entertaining.

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                          • #14
                            I am definitely staying home and watching the entire night of action from my couch and no guests!

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                            • #15
                              Originally posted by oubobcat View Post
                              I am a bit surprised to see how many people are picking Rigo. Many experts on social media are also backing him.

                              To me, this is an easy fight and easy night's work for Lomachenko. Too big, too quick and too skilled.

                              Also, lets go back three years to when Rigo fought Hisashi Amagasa. Rigo did not look good that night and started to show his age in spots during that bout. He was also hurt and dropped in round seven. Chinks in the armor of Rigo began to sprout...since then he has had just three fights. One against a very overmatched Drian Francisco in which Rigo easily won every round but really did not look sharp. And two fights that ended prematurely. So not much sense the Amagasa fight. Is he getting old (what is Rigo's really age) and could this show on Saturday? I think so and I think we see a one sided fight in favor of Lomachenko.
                              Bobcat has the beat

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