English Español
Advertisement
Results 1 to 10 of 18

Thread: BIG MAC'S PREDICTION PAGE: They Like Canelo Over Lara...What About YOU?

Hybrid View

  1. #1

    BIG MAC'S PREDICTION PAGE: They Like Canelo Over Lara...What About YOU?


    Color me shocked when Canelo Alvarez decided to meet Erislandy Lara on July 12 in Las Vegas. Lara, long regarded as one of the most fierce and trickiest southpaws in the junior middleweight division, isn’t the kind of fighter a soon-to-be 24-year-old who has struggled against elite-level boxers would normally want to face.
    But to his credit, Alvarez picked Lara for his next gig. Either Alvarez thinks he’s improved enough since eeking out a win over Austin Trout and getting his ears boxed off versus Floyd Mayweather, or he doesn’t believe Lara is as competent a boxer as most are led to believe.
    Regardless, on paper the Canelo-Lara promotion is the best matched fight of the year, so I polled the smartest folks in the business to see who would win.
    TSS Crew Likes Canelo 6-1
    I'm picking Canelo to beat Lara by decision. He's a pressure fighter who knows Alfredo Angulo gave Lara a lot of trouble and the blueprint to defeat the Cuban dandy. It won't be easy, but Canelo is stronger than Angulo and will use that strength to wear down Lara. -- David Avila, The Sweet Science
    Lara is certainly the most exciting fighter in this bout, but his performances are inconsistent. Alvarez is steadier and will control this bout. Alvarez by decision. -- Aaron Tallent, The Sweet Science
    Lara is super inconsistent and you don't know what you're getting. He's looked average at times and special at others... I'm not willing to bet on a temperamental performer. I'll go with the speed and power of Canelo to catch an overly aggressive Lara for a late knockdown to give him the edge on the cards (or possibly KO him). Genuine toss-up, though. -- Blake Hochberger, The Sweet Science
    This is a tough one to call. I can see Alvarez landing the heavier punches which should be enough to impress the judges and get a close decision. Lara will likely make things very tricky and bring some frustration for Canelo, but I don't see him landing enough hurtful blows. Could be similar to Alvarez versus Trout. -- Ronan Keenan, The Sweet Science
    Lara and his team have wanted this fight for over two years. They finally got it. While Alvarez has improved drastically over that stretch of time, there is nothing in his performances against Austin Trout and Floyd Mayweather that tell me he knows how to fight a stylist like Lara. I’m picking Lara by majority decision. -- Kelsey McCarson, The Sweet Science
    Eeshh, the guy who drew with Vanes Martirosyan thinks he has a chance to beat young gun Canelo Alvarez…Wait, the guy who fought Martirosyan in a stink-bomb bout then came out and looked like a pugilist-specialist against a top grade technician, in Austin Trout, in his last bout? I'm frazzled....OK, I gotta say first and foremost, I love pick em bouts. This is a coin flip special for me…but I'm going with the Mexican here, with the belief that physicality, strength and accuracy, will win out over the Cuban style of Lara, who could well spend more time being evasive than in launching and landing enough shots to convince the judges he's done more. Canelo wins by a three point margin. -- Michael Woods, The Sweet Science
    I haven't seen either guy fight live so I can't make a confident prediction, but there is enough positive buzz around Lara that he is definitely a very live underdog. I think his draw with Martirosyan probably means a lot more than credited. Still, if I had to make a bet, considering risk reward margins and the ol' Vegas breeze, I would lean toward a big win (mid-rounds TKO) for Alvarez. -- Phil Woolever, The Sweet Science

    Other Experts Pick Canelo 8-1
    I think Canelo's activity and punching volume will be enough to carry the fight. Lara's best chance to win will be by knockout or a series of knockdowns, but Alvarez's chin has looked pretty good at 154 to this point. Saul Alvarez wins by competitive unanimous decision. -- Adam Abramowitz, Saturday Night Boxing
    Saul Alvarez is not nearly as fast as he thinks he is. Erislandy Lara is not nearly the boxer his supporters think he is. Alvarez tends to fade in fights' second halves because he commits fully to nearly every punch. Lara tends to waste significant stores of energy by taking way too many steps. Lara will take Alvarez into the late rounds and exhaust him, yes, but he'll not know what to do with an exhausted Alvarez when he gets him there. I'll take Alvarez, UD-12.-- Bart Barry, 15Rounds.com
    As much as Lara is the more skilled fighter of the two, the jury is still out as to whether or not he can rise to the occasion in a huge fight and put forth a performance as bold in the ring as he was outside of it to secure the fight. While Canelo's overall craft remains underrated, he'll need to find the perfect balance between counter punching and attacking in order to get the win. In the end, Canelo's well-timed bursts of activity each round and hard punches should be enough to sway the judges in a close fight. Lara will certainly have his moments, but his passive stretches of inactivity throughout the fight will hurt him in the end. Give me Canelo by split decision in close fight. -- Brian Campbell, ESPN
    Unlike a lot of other folks whose opinions I've seen this week, I like Canelo here. Mayweather made him look awful, but Lara is no Mayweather. I think he can be gradually beaten up as he was in the Angulo fight, meaning Canelo either does enough to get the late stoppage "El Perro" might have gotten with clear eyesight, or wins enough rounds outright to take a close decision. -- Lyle Fitzsimmons, CBSSports.com
    I'm picking Canelo by a knockout between 6-8 rounds. He is too strong for Lara and quick enough to cut off the ring. -- Gordon Marino, Boxing.com
    This fight has a bit of a late-money feel and I expect the poll to be close...that said, I reckon Canelo is slightly the better man for all that Lara enjoys the bones of a style advantage. Alvarez, for me, is coming to grips with the problem he's had at the highest level, namely the third punch he throws in combinations and I expect him to start finding Lara in the middle rounds with good shots. His work will be more pleasing to the eye and that will get him over the line in a mildly controversial fight that stirs without really hitting the afterburners. -- Matt McGrain, Boxing.com
    Had this fight taken place a year ago, the temptation to join the herd and say Erislandy Lara would prove Canelo Alvarez's kryptonite would have been too much to resist. But Canelo has grown and matured since then. He's taken the experience of fighting a couple of cagey boxers—Austin Trout and Floyd Mayweather—and used it to refine his game and become a more well-rounded fighter. This is a statement fight for him—remember, he didn't need to take this fight, he wanted to—and his aggression, combined with an early knockdown, will make up the margin of a split-decision victory. -- Kevin McRae, Bleacher Report
    The Lara fight was perhaps Richard Schaefer's finest piece of maneuvering during his on-going war with former business partner Oscar De La Hoya. It's an incredibly dangerous bout for Canelo, De La Hoya's last remaining PPV chess piece, one most promoters would run from at a full sprint. Much respect to Canelo for taking it. That took cajones. Too bad he's going to lose. (Lara, Decision). -- Jonathan Snowden, Bleacher Report
    It's going to be a war, but Canelo is out to prove something and his heart will lead him to a victory by decision. Two tough boxer-punchers, it will guarantee be an action-packed fight. This is a tough one, but I see Canelo winning. -- Kaliesha West, World Champion Boxer

  2. #2
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Jan 2014
    Location
    New York
    Posts
    1,430

    Re: BIG MAC'S PREDICTION PAGE: They Like Canelo Over Lara...What About YOU?

    Lara wins. (He will get robbed on the cards if it is close)

    The American Dream will win the respect of The People. Canelo will have the Big Money behind him.

  3. #3
    Senior Member
    Join Date
    Dec 2010
    Posts
    318

    Re: BIG MAC'S PREDICTION PAGE: They Like Canelo Over Lara...What About YOU?

    Quote Originally Posted by deepwater2 View Post
    Lara wins. (He will get robbed on the cards if it is close)

    The American Dream will win the respect of The People. Canelo will have the Big Money behind him.
    I hear you Deep, Canelo pretty much needs to be flatfooted with a still target to be effective, Money May exploited that, but I like the way improved Canelo dance around Perro Angulo, But Lara is a total different breed??, I'll take a gamble and go with Canelo stopping Lara in the late rounds, canelo's faster hands and his improve mobility will make the difference. Lara taking too many hard shots will take a toll.

  4. #4

    Re: BIG MAC'S PREDICTION PAGE: They Like Canelo Over Lara...What About YOU?

    I'm going with Erislandy Lara, and it may be a clinic. There's a lot of certainty out there -and it's against one of the Cuban school's star graduates. Count me out. Too much is being made of Canelo's size and strength. At 5'9, Lara is the same height as Canelo with a five-inch reach advantage, and his level of ring generalship is closer to Floyd's than it is to Trout's. Lara will, by the middle rounds, exert technical mastery over Canelo, and then Canelo will have to make a decision. If Canelo fights harder (and the bull in a match-up like this is expected to), he will run into stamina issues and he knows it. If his stamina issues kick in, he will be preoccupied with preserving energy and will begin to concede rounds. He has shown a pattern of fighting only in spurts as fights progress and I see that happening late after aggressive moments early that may or not drop Lara. If Lara is still there after round 5/6, he takes over.

  5. #5
    Advanced Users brownsugar's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2010
    Location
    Home of the Buckeyes
    Posts
    4,545

    Re: BIG MAC'S PREDICTION PAGE: They Like Canelo Over Lara...What About YOU?

    Quote Originally Posted by Springs Toledo View Post
    I'm going with Erislandy Lara, and it may be a clinic. There's a lot of certainty out there -and it's against one of the Cuban school's star graduates. Count me out. Too much is being made of Canelo's size and strength. At 5'9, Lara is the same height as Canelo with a five-inch reach advantage, and his level of ring generalship is closer to Floyd's than it is to Trout's. Lara will, by the middle rounds, exert technical mastery over Canelo, and then Canelo will have to make a decision. If Canelo fights harder (and the bull in a match-up like this is expected to), he will run into stamina issues and he knows it. If his stamina issues kick in, he will be preoccupied with preserving energy and will begin to concede rounds. He has shown a pattern of fighting only in spurts as fights progress and I see that happening late after aggressive moments early that may or not drop Lara. If Lara is still there after round 5/6, he takes over.

    Springs summed it up very succinctly and economically. ..which I believe is sort of an anology to Lara's fighting style. Sharp, focused, accurate and economical.

    I couldn't believe how the fans packed the venue for the weigh-in. I wish now that I'd taken some vacation and booked a room and some tickets.

    There's nothing like two young lions stepping up to the scale wearing their pride and sisu on their sleeves for all the world to see.

    Canelo looked a little num and reserved. You could see the realization of the moment pulsating just below the surface of his stone- like countenance.
    I didn't say he was scared.....just concerned and there is nothing wrong with a little healthy concern the day before a fight.

    In addition to this Canelo looked a tad malnourished which is not too unusual for an athlete participating in a weight based sport. Maybe the extra pound will prevent him from having a flat performance.

    Lara looked relaxed and ready.. His body rippling with sinuous muscles tissue totally devoid of any visible body fat. In a subtle way Lara exhibited the body language of a bully as he stood face to face with the pride of GoldenBoy and did his best to appear menacing.

    In the post weigh in interview he claimed he wanted to break Canelo's face right there on stage.

    Did it work?

    Canelo ....ever the classy and reserved pragmatist said the fight is tomorrow anyway so any theatrics at this point is strictly a waste of effort. He will show Lara his own superior ability in the ring on fight-night.

    Lara gave a half hearted "Viva Mexico" as he left the stage with little to no response from the pro latina crowd while Canelo's exit was precipitated by raucus cheers of encouragement. Lara just has to be mindful that he has to be landing punches as he's moving out of harms way.

    Its a difficult choice but since there has to be a winner and a loser I'm picking Lara.
    50% of boxing is movement. A fighter whose has great foot work can virtually shut his opponent down. Even if his punches contain the concussive power of Thor's mythic hammer, Miljolner.
    Last edited by brownsugar; 07-11-2014 at 10:19 PM.

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •