Is Viktor Postol a Live Underdog?

Is Viktor Postol a Live Underdog? – If a boxer’s won-loss record was the best barometer of his capability, then Saturday’s fight between WBO champion Terence “Bud” Crawford and his WBC counterpart Viktor Postol could not be more even. The fighters have matching 28-0 records. But, of course, in no other sport are records as deceiving as in boxing. This is no “pick-em” affair, but a match in which Crawford is a substantial favorite, roughly 6/1 when the juice is extracted from the prevailing odds to create a man-to-man betting line.

Is Postol a good value at that price?

 

Is Viktor Postol a Live Underdog?

In Postol’s favor, he has elevated his game since hooking up with legendary trainer Freddie Roach. Their first of three collaborations came in May of 2014 when Postol faced Selcuk Aydin at the Forum in Los Angeles. Postol dominated the match prior to knocking out the 26-2 Turk with a crushing right uppercut in the 11th stanza. The ref didn’t bother to count.

A lopsided 8-round decision over Jake Giuriceo in a stay-busy fight preceded his next major bout, a match with Lucas Matthysse. Postol upset the Argentine knockout artist and did it in a manner that said that he was something more than just a solid technician. He used his long reach to good advantage, worked the body to good effect, and ended matters in the 10th frame with a straight right hand that sent Matthysse crashing to the canvas. He stayed down on one knee, dabbing at his left eye, as the referee completed the count.

The victory brought Postol the title vacated by Danny Garcia when he moved up in weight and his showing so impressed the members of the Transnational Boxing Rankings Board that Postol was boosted into the #1 slot in the 140-pound division, a notch above Terence Crawford. (Strangely, Crawford’s name appears on the TBRB list of the top 10 pound-for-pound fighters whereas Postol is unlisted.)

There are still questions about Postol, however. How will he react to fighting on such a big stage? His signature fight with Lucas Matthysse was only his fourth bout on American soil and the first of those four to be accorded top billing on the marquee. This will also be Terence Crawford’s first PPV fight, but he is more accustomed to fighting on television and being the headliner.

Standing 5’11” (he appears taller) with a 73-inch reach, Viktor Postol had physical advantages over Selcuk Aydin and Lucas Matthysse that won’t be as pronounced vs. Crawford. Based on the figures provided by BoxRec, Postol had an 8-inch longer reach than the 5’7” Aydin and a four-inch longer reach than the 5’6 ½” Matthysse. Crawford stands 5’8” and his reach has been measured at 70 inches.

In Lucas Matthysse, Postol was meeting a stout-hearted warrior but perhaps a man who was ripe to be taken after too many wars. Matthysse’s 2014 slugfest with John Molina was named The Ring magazine Fight of the Year and his bout the next year with Ruslan Provodnikov was a strong candidate for that honor. Those were the sorts of hell-for-leather fights that shorten a boxer’s career.

As for Terence Crawford, his recent showings suggest that he is a rare talent. Knowledgeable fight fans marvel at his ability to switch between southpaw and orthodox stances without losing precision or power. Moreover, although Crawford doesn’t always make smart decisions outside the ring – he was arrested in April for allegedly causing $5000 damage to a hydraulic lift in a dispute with an Omaha car shop owner – he is a smart fighter who has reaped accolades for his ring generalship.

Bob Arum has a larger investment in Crawford than in Viktor Postol, a salient handicapping variable. If history is any guide, the odds favoring Crawford will shorten, making him more appealing from a risk/reward standpoint.  But there’s a wild card factor.

Fighters from countries in the former Soviet Union are making great strides. Once identified with the heavyweight division, boxers from this region are succeeding across a broader spectrum. Postol hails from the Ukraine, the land that brought us the remarkable Klitschko brothers, and Ukrainians in particular have powered this surge.

Vasyl Lomachenko’s demolition of Roman Martinez last month wowed the cognoscenti. Cruiserweight Oleksandr Usyk (who has yet to appear in the United States), light heavyweight Vyacheslav Shabranskyy, and middleweight Sergiy Derevychenko (who is in action tomorrow night, July 21) are all undefeated and seemingly headed toward big money bouts. Then there’s 10-0 Oleksandr Gvosdyk, a light heavyweight with one-punch knockout power. Gvosdyk will appear on the TV portion of Saturday’s show at the MGM Grand.

A horseplayer with whom I was once acquainted was partial to betting horses from hot barns – horses whose stablemates were in excellent form. The Ukrainian “barn” is a hot barn right now.

Is Viktor Postol a Live Underdog?

COMMENTS

-brownsugar :

He's more than a live dog, he's virtually standing upon the razor sharp precipice of a major upset. ... some casual guy jumped all over me earlier when I mentioned that Postol's upbringing rivals Crawford's as far as the hard knock back story. I just told him that since he knows everything we should cut the convo short since the conversation had stopped being productive. Postol may look like a middle aged accountant, but he's a gangster in the ring. This is a 50/50 fight. If by some chance Crawford makes it look easy... its because he truly is the "Chosen One", the next Chavez, Duran, Jones, or Whitaker .... but not because Postol is lacking in heart, guts or skill.


-New York Tony :

Postol is anything but an underdog. This fight is very much 50/50, and I wouldn't be at all surprised by a draw.


-Radam G :

Bud is going to go POSTAL on Postol. I thought that Postol had a chance until I took a long look. Postol is long and tall like a straw. And he is shaky and a bit slow on the draw. For Bud, the dude is just too raw. Bud is going to gun him down like an outlaw. Holla!


-BobD3623 :

The Roachcoach sez the postman only rings once.


-Domenic :

The Roachcoach sez the postman only rings once.
Nice! I never did see The Postman Only Rings Twice. I'm stepping out on a limb and predict the Postman wins by late stoppage after losing the early rounds. Also predict this is FOTY for 2016.


-amayseng :

Close fight but I'll go with TC due to his ability to adjust in many ways but more importantly he is quicker of hand and foot. What a great matchup, kudos to both men for challenging themselves.


-stormcentre :

Oleksandr Gvosdyk will probably bust up Karpency real bad and stop him. Sergiy Derevychenko just stopped Soliman. Surprise KO's aside, Crawford should probably get the win too. :) :)


-brownsugar :

When Postol fought Lundy he used deft head movement and fast feet to evade punches while darting in to land jabs to the midsection and straight rights to the head. When Postol ducks a punch he bends at the knees and torso making the maneuver look smooth and effortless. Lundy was missing multiple punches at a time. Lundy has an educated jab and decent feints but he cocks his elbows out to where they are parallel with his shoulders sometimes, the result is a looping punch that has to "turn the corner" before it lands. He rarely touched Postol with those punches... in the small dining room venue the fight took on the quality of an anticeptic sparring match. A friendly exhibition. Lundy refused to take the fight to Postol who had the luxury of darting back an forth of his leisure. (until late in the fight when he was way behind) But the few times he did, Lundy was able to trip Postol up on the 4th and 5th sequence of his offence. People say the fight was close, to the naked untrained eye it was, but if you are able keep up with the speed of the action, its plain to see that Postol anticipated most of what Lundy tried to do. And responded accordingly.... easy work. Matthysse did much better than Lundy. Using his tenaciously aggressive offence, Matthysse was able to catch Postol clean a number of times until Postol made the internal calculations to blunt Matthysse's charging offence and eventually ran the Argentinian into a knockout blow. Against Crawfird , Lundy turned up the vitriol and animosity to white-hot intensity. African Americans (like Mexicans) will tend to fight each other more savagely sometimes because of the mutual feeling of familiarity (they think they know each other) Early in the fight Crawford was getting tagged by the same looping punches that Postol easily ducked or sidestepped. Crawford got hit a lot more than Postol but he switched and turned it into a fight....like he did after Gamboa finessed him for 4 straight rounds. He will not beat Postol jab for jab....Amateur style.... Crawford must create as much discomfort for the slick boxing Russian as possible. He might have to take two to land one at times. But if he can force Postol to trade, while keeping the pressure to a maximum, he can potentially force some cracks in Postol steel-vise defense that he can exploit. Crawford has no comfort zone to dwell in for this fight. He must turn up the intensity and move Postol out of his technically methodical ivory tower of technic and disrupt his rhythm. And against Postol, Crawford will not be able to swim without getting wet as brother Nazim would say. On the contrary, Crawford must become the Flood from which Postol cannot escape.


-King Beef :

When Postol fought Lundy he used deft head movement and fast feet to evade punches while darting in to land jabs to the midsection and straight rights to the head. When Postol ducks a punch he bends at the knees and torso making the maneuver look smooth and effortless. Lundy was missing multiple punches at a time. Lundy has an educated jab and decent feints but he cocks his elbows out to where they are parallel with his shoulders sometimes, the result is a looping punch that has to "turn the corner" before it lands. He rarely touched Postol with those punches... in the small dining room venue the fight took on the quality of an anticeptic sparring match. A friendly exhibition. Lundy refused to take the fight to Postol who had the luxury of darting back an forth of his leisure. (until late in the fight when he was way behind) But the few times he did, Lundy was able to trip Postol up on the 4th and 5th sequence of his offence. People say the fight was close, to the naked untrained eye it was, but if you are able keep up with the speed of the action, its plain to see that Postol anticipated most of what Lundy tried to do. And responded accordingly.... easy work. Matthysse did much better than Lundy. Using his tenaciously aggressive offence, Matthysse was able to catch Postol clean a number of times until Postol made the internal calculations to blunt Matthysse's charging offence and eventually ran the Argentinian into a knockout blow. Against Crawfird , Lundy turned up the vitriol and animosity to white-hot intensity. African Americans (like Mexicans) will tend to fight each other more savagely sometimes because of the mutual feeling of familiarity (they think they know each other) Early in the fight Crawford was getting tagged by the same looping punches that Postol easily ducked or sidestepped. Crawford got hit a lot more than Postol but he switched and turned it into a fight....like he did after Gamboa finessed him for 4 straight rounds. He will not beat Postol jab for jab....Amateur style.... Crawford must create as much discomfort for the slick boxing Russian as possible. He might have to take two to land one at times. But if he can force Postol to trade, while keeping the pressure to a maximum, he can potentially force some cracks in Postol steel-vise defense that he can exploit. rawford has no comfort zone to dwell in for this fight. He must turn up the intensity and move Postol out of his technically methodical ivory tower of technic and disrupt his rhythm. And against Postol, Crawford will not be able to swim without getting wet as brother Nazim would say. On the contrary, Crawford must become the Flood from which Postol cannot escape.
Good analysis B-Sug, this is definitely a 50/50 fight, I cannot call Postol a underdog by any means. Its a hard choice, but I gotta go with Crawford, I think he will be able to adjust better, and that mean streak of his will be needed tonight


-brownsugar :

Good analysis B-Sug, this is definitely a 50/50 fight, I cannot call Postol a underdog by any means. Its a hard choice, but I gotta go with Crawford, I think he will be able to adjust better, and that mean streak of his will be needed tonight
Yes Sir, he's gonna have to let the dogs out tonight.


-Radam G :

Wow! Hopewiches -- hope sandwiches -- are being dished out in this Universe. Postol will not be able to match Bud in anything. Postol is not another Sadam "World Kid" All. But he is also no Jesse Vargas. Holla!


-SuperLight :

I see it pretty even. I think I said before I'd have money on Postol because of his style and his head. Nothing objective. Does anyone have a link to a live stream?


-stormcentre :

I'm not sure it's a 50/50 fight, but I am (now) more certain Crawford will win tonight. Cheers,
Storm. :) :)


-Radam G :

The live underdog is now the dead-get-over wuzzycat. MEOW! MEOW! Hehehe! Don't be mad! Holla!


-Radam G :

I see it pretty even. I think I said before I'd have money on Postol because of his style and his head. Nothing objective. Does anyone have a link to a live stream?
Your boksing sight is/was blurry.
->http://www.iloveboxing.xyz/2016/07/terence-crawford-vs-viktor-postol.html. Holla!


-SuperLight :

Your boksing sight is/was blurry.
->http://www.iloveboxing.xyz/2016/07/terence-crawford-vs-viktor-postol.html. Holla!
Brother Radam, I said myself it was not an objective hypothetical wager. I was simply "rooting" for the guy with the pawing jab, receding hairline and Roman nose. I'm not a betting man. If I was, I could save myself the work, look at recent history and bet against Freddie's guy. Thanks for posting the link, too. I've only watched a couple of rounds so far.


-stormcentre :

This fight was another example of just how out of touch Freddy Roach, and his pre-fight comments and actions, are. How many fights now has Freddy hyped up and claimed a KO win will happen, only to not realize that stated? His $100.00 wager on the supposed Postol KO win was as laughable as it revealed just how much faith he had. And, what a surprise (straight after the loss) now Freddy likes the idea of Crawford V Pacquaio. That's almost the same as saying . . . .

""I really like being involved in, and paid for, marquee fights . . . So (now my new boy has lost) let's do it again. This time with Pac. And, hey, don't worry, I will always do my bit to go waaaaay beyond promoting the fight by ignoring the normal boundary signs that scream "go beyond here you're talking shite" !!! Plus, yawl know I will send my boys in without a clue about defence"


Storm. :) :)