Mayweather Will Return And Here's The Most Likely Path

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He'll surely deny it. In fact he'll even go as far as to say that it misses him more than he misses it. But the evidence offers layers of undeniable proof that former pound-for-pound top dog Floyd Mayweather misses being the main man in professional boxing. Then again, maybe you can say Mayweather is still the main man in the sport in that his routine tweets stimulate more conversation and debate than most high profile bouts that air on HBO and Showtime.

Mayweather 49-0 (26) retired from boxing as the number one pound-for-pound boxer in the world after beating Andre Berto last September. And since he's been retired there's been continued speculation that his return is imminent. Most, myself included, do not believe for a minute that Mayweather will not come back and fight for a 50th time and look to eclipse Rocky Marciano's iconic 49-0 record which has stood since 1955.

Since he's been gone, Floyd has managed to keep himself in the news via presidential candidate Donald Trump's favorite method of communication; twitter. For months Floyd has been tweeting pictures of himself buying new exotic cars, being on dates and sitting poolside with sexy women and hanging out with rappers. He's also gone at it via the media with former friend and current WBA super lightweight title holder Adrien Broner. We've seen pictures of Mayweather sitting court-side at Los Angeles Lakers and New York Knicks games. In addition to all of that, he's shot down reports that he's going to fight Manny Pacquiao in a rematch and hasn't passed up an opportunity to tweak MMA combatants Conor McGregor and Ronda Rousey who both lost their last fight.

Oh yes, Mayweather misses the spotlight. So what he's done in a roundabout way is purchased his own light. I said a few years ago that Floyd would be a week old ghost seven days after he retired. And if it wasn't for Floyd going out of his way to keep himself in the news, that would be the case. Mayweather can talk about living the life in retirement and counting his money all he wants, but Floyd is still a fighter first, and he looked like an elite one in his last two bouts versus Pacquiao and Berto. There's no doubt Floyd misses the accolades that Terence Crawford, Gennady Golovkin, Andre Ward and Sergey Kovalev are now getting.

Mayweather hasn't said he's returning to the ring but according to Golovkin's trainer, Abel Sanchez, he just seems to be fixated on fighting Golovkin. “I've seen three or four pieces in the last couple of weeks where he's talking about beating Golovkin,” he told Yahoo Sports. “It looks like he's laying the groundwork for something, whether it's Golovkin or somebody else. Floyd is laying the groundwork for a comeback.” 

And as most know, Mayweather referred to Golovkin as “easy work.” Adding speculation is the fact that Golovkin said back in July that he'd drop weight to make a fight happen. “Look at me, I'm not big, I'm not fat,” Golovkin said at the time, via Boxingscene.com. “My couple of last fights, I was 158, 159. It's possible for me [to go down to fight him]. I would go to 154 just for Floyd. I understand that this is biggest fight in the world. This would show who is who, the best fighter in the world.”

Last week Mayweather commented on Golovkin…saying there are two things Golovkin needs to do to earn the right to challenge him: “He's gotta call out Andre Ward, beat Andre Ward, and then I'll fight him. I haven't seen him call out Andre Ward yet.”

That sounds real authoritative, however it illustrates that Mayweather wants no part of Golovkin and wants Ward to take the risk first. If Golovkin loses to Ward then there's no need for Floyd to fight him, which is what Floyd's counting on.

I say Mayweather's return goes more like this…

He'll wait until after Golovkin beats Dominic Wade next month and Canelo Alvarez beats Amir Khan in May. If things go according to the alleged script, Alvarez and Golovkin will begin negotiations for their awaited showdown shortly afterward. In the eyes of most boxing aficionados, Alvarez-Golovkin is one of the most anticipated bouts, right up there with Kovalev-Ward. Soon after the Alvarez-Golovkin hype begins, Mayweather will announce that he'd like to fight Alvarez for the lineal middleweight title. For Mayweather, the setting couldn't be better. Alvarez is the real middleweight champ because he beat the man who beat the man and he doesn't even fight as a middleweight. Like Floyd and Miguel Cotto before him, Alvarez is the new “catch-weight diva” and never fights above 155, which serves Mayweather perfectly.

Mayweather's ego will swell even more having knocked the Alvarez-Golovkin bout off the schedule and in the process he will have made the fight that's most winnable for him being that he has already out-boxed Alvarez. Floyd needs a story as to why he's coming back for his 50th fight, and the thought of becoming the first junior lightweight title holder in history to win the middleweight title is a great motivating factor for him. He also knows Alvarez will jump at the chance to fight him again and push back fighting Golovkin as long as he can. And that's because it's the smartest move Canelo could make.

For starters, Alvarez has improved since he fought Mayweather two and a half years ago. Canelo surely must believe that it would be different this time with Mayweather being two and a half years older and him being two and a half years more experienced. And let’s face it, going down as the first fighter to beat Mayweather is surely more of a legacy enhancer than being remembered as the first fighter to beat Golovkin. Another reason why he would be best served fighting Mayweather is, under the best case scenario if he loses, it'll be by decision and he won't get beat up, hurt, knocked out or embarrassed. On the other hand, a loss to Golovkin could bruise more than his ego and there's a chance (although I don't think that's the way it'll go) that he could be humiliated in the process.

And lastly, above all else, fighting Mayweather would probably net Alvarez three times more money than he'd make fighting Gennady Golovkin. Alvarez can rebuild his career if he lost to Mayweather again. The re-branding process would begin with the notion Mayweather simply owned the style matchup between them just as he has every other opponent he's faced. Whereas, against Golovkin, Alvarez could be out-manned in a memorable fashion and that would be harder for Alvarez to shake down the road.

I've yet to speak with anyone who is even a quasi-boxing fan who doesn't believe Mayweather will fight for the 50th time. Once Alvarez-Golovkin and Kovalev-Ward start to dominate the talk in boxing circles, I think Floyd will want to blow it up as only he can. And fighting Alvarez for the lineal middleweight title couldn't be more perfect as far as providing Mayweather everything he craves — attention, money and legacy enrichment.   

Frank Lotierzo can be contacted at GlovedFist@Gmail.com

 

Comment on this article

COMMENTS

-SouthPawFlo :

I think haymon has done everything in his power to Keep Garcia Undefeated so Mayweather can fight him in the Return fight in September.... Even tho he's the young man, Garcia has been in tough and doesn't have the speed or reflexes to compete with Floyd... An easy fight to sell with the Floyd coming back to fight the Undefeated WBC Welterweight Champion of the World.... 75 million Pay Day for Floyd Easily, fans will wanna see if the 1 yr layoff has aged Floyd and the Angel Garcia vs Floyd Sr. Prefight shenanigans will be something to watch


-Kid Blast :

Good call Frank. Canelo's risk-reward is much better fighting Mayweather than it is fighting GGG IMO.


-michigan400 :

Mayweather can beat GGG but his chances get smaller each minute that passes. I see it like Ward vs SK,, 50-50 fight right now. GGG has size, strength and like Floyd,, supremely confident. Having said that I also think the likelihood of it happening (with GGG as an opponent) is slim to none and slim done left town!! Another fight with Canelo is much safer and has a much better chance of happening. But I'm not getting excited about it either way to be honest. I don't even cringe as much when I see his picture anymore. DG probably has the best chance like previously mentioned.


-amayseng :

Mayweather can beat GGG but his chances get smaller each minute that passes. I see it like Ward vs SK,, 50-50 fight right now. GGG has size, strength and like Floyd,, supremely confident. Having said that I also think the likelihood of it happening (with GGG as an opponent) is slim to none and slim done left town!! Another fight with Canelo is much safer and has a much better chance of happening. But I'm not getting excited about it either way to be honest. I don't even cringe as much when I see his picture anymore. DG probably has the best chance like previously mentioned.
Don't be ridiculous, GGG would beat Floyd to a pulp. GGG is a constant nonlinear steamrolling wrecking machine and Floyd at 39 while taking those hellish debilitating shots won't fare, not for long.


-Radam G :

Don't be ridiculous, GGG would beat Floyd to a pulp. GGG is a constant nonlinear steamrolling wrecking machine and Floyd at 39 while taking those hellish debilitating shots won't fare, not for long.
Money May will win on PlayStation. Hehehehe! That is the scrap that he is spittin' about having with 3g. Holla!


-stormcentre :

Just imagine if Floyd does come back and both fights and beats 3G; which I think he can. Given all the threads, posts, and comments around here . . . . . it would be like the second coming of MayPac and all the wrong predictions. The forum may even buckle under the weight of such a result; not to mention the associated fact and truth. A lot of humble pie would have to be eaten. And that's in addition to some long overdue respect; that has been explicitly, quite loudly, and proactively, pledged for such circumstances. Still, it is yet to happen. Interesting considerations though. :) :)


-stormcentre :

Just imagine if Floyd does come back and both fights and beats 3G; which I think he can. As the only thing Triple does better than Floyd is hold and give a shot; and - if were being real - there's a little more (skills) to the game when you're in with Floyd. Still, it doesn't surprise me to see people jumping in and making the same MayPac mistakes again; whilst still not being able to explain just "how" Triple will deal with the style Floyd will bring. That said, if this does happen and Floyd does fight 3G . . . Given all the threads, posts, and comments (and their negativity) around here . . . . . it would be like the second coming of MayPac and all that fight's associated and wrong predictions. Just the fact that Floyd would (win, lose, or draw) fight him would - as far as many comments go - mean that most of those whom dislike Floyd would have to give respect. Either that or explain how not doing it aligns with all the posts that state otherwise. So, even if Floyd were to lose; the forum may actually buckle under the weight of such a circumstance. Not to mention all the associated fact and truth. A lot of humble pie would have to be eaten. And that's in addition to some long overdue respect; that has been explicitly, quite loudly, and proactively, pledged for such circumstances. Then, consider what happens when Floyd wins. In dat hilarious case . . . We could quite literally have a PacQueenParade around here (again) where those whom (again) didn't learn from their MayPac mistakes were served up as examples of (not only, those whom ignore {their own} history are doomed to repeat it, but also) how they kept wishing, hoping, and thinking in the same way; even though - once again and with this new instance of the same thought processes - they were still (again) unable to even begin offering remotely tangible explanations as to how the fate they forecasted for Floyd might actually happen. Love it !!!! Still - within the context of a Floyd V Gennady fight - none of this it is yet to happen. Interesting considerations though. :) :)


-The Good Doctor :

I am not so sure GGG beats Floyd, especially if its at 154 and you can bet your right arm there will be rehydration clauses, ring sizes and all some other type of statutes tilting the fight in Floyd's favor. In addition, it is a massive leap for 3G in stage and opponent. Also add to that, GGG has never fought an even remotely moving target, even if it is a 39 year old Floyd. That being said, I doubt it happens. Garcia, Pac, & Canelo are on the docket. Big checks, very beatable, and very willing to take the fight. I highly doubt a Kell Brook (which could be huge in the UK), or Khan should he beat Canelo, even remotely have a shot. No GGG, no Porter, no Thurman. All hat being said, I am still not sure if this isn't Floyd just talking. With absolutely nothing to base this opinion upon, I actually think he is done.


-stormcentre :

Just imagine if Floyd does come back and both fights and beats 3G; which I think he can. As the only thing Triple does better than Floyd is hold and give a shot; and - if were being real - there's a little more (skills) to the game when you're in with Floyd. Still, it doesn't surprise me to see people jumping in and making the same MayPac mistakes again; whilst still not being able to explain just "how" Triple will deal with the style Floyd will bring. That said, if this does happen and Floyd does fight 3G . . . Given all the threads, posts, and comments (and their negativity) around here . . . . . it would be like the second coming of MayPac and all that fight's associated and wrong predictions. Just the fact that Floyd would (win, lose, or draw) fight him would - as far as many comments go - mean that most of those whom dislike Floyd would have to give respect. Either that or explain how not doing it aligns with all the posts that state otherwise. So, even if Floyd were to lose; the forum may actually buckle under the weight of such a circumstance. Not to mention all the associated fact and truth. A lot of humble pie would have to be eaten. And that's in addition to some long overdue respect; that has been explicitly, quite loudly, and proactively, pledged for such circumstances. Then, consider what happens when Floyd wins. In dat hilarious case . . .

We could quite literally have a PacQueenParade around here (again) where those whom (again) didn't learn from their MayPac mistakes were served up as examples of (not only, how those whom ignore {their own} history are simply doomed to repeat it, but also) how they kept wishing, hoping, and thinking in the same way; even though - once again and with this new instance of the same unsuccessful thought processes - they were still (again) *unable to begin offering even remotely tangible *explanations as to how the fate they forecasted for Floyd might actually happen.

Love it !!!! Still - within the context of a (real) Floyd V Gennady fight;


A) Not only is none of this yet to materialize and/or happen; whilst Floyd proves many doubters wrong and remains retired.
B) But also, it appears that Triple is also currently
~
balking at offers to fight other – seemingly lesser (to Floyd) - opponents whom;


- Don’t just present as a better caliber of opponent (in many senses, including financially and championship-wise) than the typical 3G opponent.
- But have also called him out; such as Bradley and Brook. Which in
~
itself . . .

"Along with all those above-mentioned and conspicuously *absent explanations (that themselves channel humorous preMayPac moments/predictions almost as well as they emulate them) as to how the fate that is (commonly) forecasted for Floyd might actually happen"

Appears to constitute a set of uncomfortable considerations that are both overlooked and not factored into any remotely believable predictive theory; whether or not that theory is underpinned by a desperate and emotional need to see Floyd fail. Coincidence?



Still, all up . . . . . It’s food for thought and a great laugh, with some other interesting and historical considerations thrown in for good measure.
Storm. :) :)


-SouthPawFlo :

Floyd Beats GGG at 154, but I see him fighting Canelo over GGG... But he's not crazy enuff to fight a guy like that after an extended layoff. Danny G is on the Menu First, then maybe Pac in May 2017 if Pac Stops Bradley and wins again impressively in the Fall...


-Radam G :

I am not so sure GGG beats Floyd, especially if its at 154 and you can bet your right arm there will be rehydration clauses, ring sizes and all some other type of statutes tilting the fight in Floyd's favor. In addition, it is a massive leap for 3G in stage and opponent. Also add to that, GGG has never fought an even remotely moving target, even if it is a 39 year old Floyd. That being said, I doubt it happens. Garcia, Pac, & Canelo are on the docket. Big checks, very beatable, and very willing to take the fight. I highly doubt a Kell Brook (which could be huge in the UK), or Khan should he beat Canelo, even remotely have a shot. No GGG, no Porter, no Thurman. All hat being said, I am still not sure if this isn't Floyd just talking. With absolutely nothing to base this opinion upon, I actually think he is done.
You were doing fairly well until you said that he was done. Holla!


-stormcentre :


Subject change Check out this video that was just sent to me . . . .
->http://www.boxingscene.com/video-bob-arum-on-pacquiao-career-bradley-top-ranks-future--102933 Of Arum;


A) Openly supporting all the sponsors, TV personalities, and the myriad of other identities that all pulled the support and/or sponsorship-rug right out from underneath Pac's feet.
B) Discussing Pac's "clever thinking and actions" related to his anti-gay comments and sponsorship losses.
C) Promoting the upcoming Bradley V3 Pacquaio fight in the best possible way he knows.

All up, it's a pretty good look for Pac. I can't remember another time in this sport's entire history where a fighter's promoter has so conclusively confirmed and/or inferred that their main attraction was a certified idiot. In fact, it's so funny . . . . That it even tops the video that has Roach, Pacquaio, and Arum all sitting together, without offering the slightest opposition to Roach's public statements, that themselves pretty much effectively claimed that Ariza was canned/sacked from the Wildcard gym due to the PEDs and/or other unexplained "consumables" he was giving Pac. Now I know we have some pretty good historians and other writers here that know their stuff, so . . . Someone, anyone, please tell me when was the last time a promoter came out - just before a fight involving their star attraction - and, as Bob has here, rather than go through the typical paces of solely promoting the fight with positivity . . . instead, they proceed to effectively confirm/infer that their main attraction has been such a clown that he deserved to lose all his sponsorship and other support? Genius stuff !!!! Nothing here suggests that Pac's above actions have any similarity to those whom blindly support him in a Queening sense. Finally, I have no prediction for Bradley V3 Pacquaio, as with Pac's past history of writs, unfulfilled claims, fraud, deception, and PEDs; the fact of the matter is that it's too hard to tell whom is showing up and (what is responsible for) doing what. And . . . this is just
Storm thinking out aloud now . . . . But I strongly suspect that that is the main and underlying reason why Arum is both, speaking as candidly as he is and also looking after his other sponsorship interests/identities; at the expense of sincerely promoting Pacquaio. As always, I'm happy to hear anyone's concise, insightful, and meaningful views that can stand on their own feet, explain, and oppose that view.
Storm. :) :)


-amayseng :

I am not so sure GGG beats Floyd, especially if its at 154 and you can bet your right arm there will be rehydration clauses, ring sizes and all some other type of statutes tilting the fight in Floyd's favor. In addition, it is a massive leap for 3G in stage and opponent. Also add to that, GGG has never fought an even remotely moving target, even if it is a 39 year old Floyd. That being said, I doubt it happens. Garcia, Pac, & Canelo are on the docket. Big checks, very beatable, and very willing to take the fight. I highly doubt a Kell Brook (which could be huge in the UK), or Khan should he beat Canelo, even remotely have a shot. No GGG, no Porter, no Thurman. All hat being said, I am still not sure if this isn't Floyd just talking. With absolutely nothing to base this opinion upon, I actually think he is done.
AT 160 GGG beats Floyd to an inch of his life. At 154 no one knows because no one knows if GGG will turn into what Chad Dawson was when he cut for Ward, dried out with nothing to offer and the man's organs and brain suffered for it. Though at 160 it is not even a question. Floyd is a phenom, but he would get stomped at 160 by GGG. At 147 Madaina bullied him and thumped him around all over the place. It is what it is.


-amayseng :

Floyd beats Garcia to death but I don't see where the money would be for that. Garcia has two losses on his resume that were forgotten to be put on it and Garcia has no following. Dont see Floyd making more than 5 million for a Garcia fight, no intrigue. Though Canelo, GGG would make much better money.


-amayseng :

I think haymon has done everything in his power to Keep Garcia Undefeated so Mayweather can fight him in the Return fight in September.... Even tho he's the young man, Garcia has been in tough and doesn't have the speed or reflexes to compete with Floyd... An easy fight to sell with the Floyd coming back to fight the Undefeated WBC Welterweight Champion of the World.... 75 million Pay Day for Floyd Easily, fans will wanna see if the 1 yr layoff has aged Floyd and the Angel Garcia vs Floyd Sr. Prefight shenanigans will be something to watch
75 mil for Floyd to face Garcia are you serious? Yikes


-The Good Doctor :

You were doing fairly well until you said that he was done. Holla!
Ha! Saying Floyd is done feels dumb coming out of my mouth and like I said I have nothing to substantiate it. It is no more than my gasbaggery. For some reason though, I still think it. I guess a little bit of the reason I feel this way is because I don't think anything out there is a gigantic pot of gold. Garcia would pay nice. So would Pac and Canelo. In my mind though, Floyd comes back for another 100mil+ payday and I am not sure any of those produce that. In a weird way, I don't think he misses the ring, but I think he misses the spotlight which is why he keeps flapping his soup coolers. I think he is also talking because he didn't think the boxing media would reduce its coverage of him so quickly. Some people think he will fight GGG for legacy and to prove something. Not saying that he won't, but legacy and proving points has never been his M O. Also, as much vitriol as there is towards Floyd (some well earned) if he were to fight GGG and beat him within the next 18 months, people would not make it about Floyd being good, it would be about more made about GGG being a paper champion who never fought anyone. I get that stance as I am still a GGG holdout and think there is not ton in being gained by beating him right now (may change in a couple of years) but it would be a stance that disregards the fact that a 39 year old welterweight beat a prime, younger 160 pounder. I don't care who it is, if you do that it is impressive. I may sound a little contradictory, but I feel like Floyd beating GGG is a deal, just not a big deal.


-Kid Blast :

Garcia is the best risk-reward if 50-0 is the goal.IMO


-michigan400 :

At 154,,, I still think Floyd has as good chance as anyone, probably even better due to his defensive skills. I'm definitely not a Floyd fan, quite the opposite really, but at 154 or 155 I think it's even money. At 160 his chances go down a lot IMO as well. But we all know for a 100% fact, Floyd won't be fighting GGG at 160 so getting deep into that scenario is not worth the time. I highly doubt he will in the first place, at any weight. If he does come back it will be for "win" #50 not "fight" #50. Big, BIG difference there. Cheers! M4


-Domenic :

Ray Leonard came off a years-long layoff and fought Hagler not at 154, but at middleweight, for the undisputed title. No tune-up, and people/media-of-the-time feared for his life. Titles meant something then. Irrespective of where you stand on the decision (I favored MH, but accept the other side; Hagler fought orthodox, gave away early, damageless rounds, and was also trending south as a fighter due to wars, time, etc). But Ray's willingness to chase greatness was brilliant, courageous, ballsy beyond belief, epic, historic. Floyd's not that guy. That's what made Ray Leonard an icon. Floyd is phenomenal from a monetary standpoint. He's P4P#1 in that category, all time. But historically, he's at the Joe Calzaghe level to me. Nothing to scoff at. A HOF'er, great, but not transcendent. Several notches below Ray Leonard. Now if he returned and accepted a Golovkin assignment, that assessment changes, win or lose. But that's not his deal. It's not in the calculus for him to operate that way. And there's nothing wrong with that. He's a mogul. But he's NOT elite all time.


-Kid Blast :

Damm, I'll steal that one, Domenic


-stormcentre :

If Floyd does come back and fight Triple it is very unlikely he does it without dictating the weight. But then 3G should know and accept that, as it is him that originally started the debate about the two of them fighting, and it is he that has stated he will drop down in weight before; either for Floyd or other fighters.

Triple is brilliant in his own way, and (as hinted at above) you could say he is a watered down version of Halgler. So too, Floyd is then, possibly, a watered down version of Leonard. So you see where we go with that line of discussion. Only thing is . . . . . Whilst I like SRL more and agree he is better in some ways than Floyd; Floyd actually does some things (in the ring) better than Leonard. Whereas Triple . . . . . Does nothing better than Hagler.

After a relaxing layoff, de-stress, and a decent run up at preparation and the fight (if it ever happens); Floyd outsmarts 3G, wins, does it his way, and most that said they would change their views about Floyd for fighting Triple (win, lose, or draw) still find a way to complain and/or back out of that commitment. Finally, I am not sure this photo of Floyd and his new (and very young possibly na?ve) girlie does him any favors. Still, it's worth a smirk.
->http://www.boxingscene.com/mayweather-trashes-broner-always-broke-ellerbe-makes-more--102943 :) :) :)