LOTIERZO: Floyd Will Beat Pacquiao by a Comfortable Margin

With The Fight being announced, here’s what I believe we know Pacquiao must have agreed to, to Team Mayweather’s demands …maybe Floyd will allow Manny to pick his own trunks to wear…and terms of the fight. Otherwise there’d be no fight. And if you doubt that, you haven’t been astutely paying attention to how Mayweather plays the game. However, Mayweather’s entire career and legacy rest on the outcome, especially if he loses. Floyd knows he must beat Pacquiao because it’s the only fight boxing fans will remember of his for generations to come. His 47 career victories prior to fighting Pacquiao will be all but forgotten if he loses fight 48 to his only career rival, Manny Pacquiao.

Mayweather shrewdly waited Pacquiao out for the last five years because he knew as long as he (Floyd) didn’t lose, the fight would always be there. Since 2010, Pacquiao has lost to Timothy Bradley and was knocked cold by Juan Manuel Marquez back in December of 2012. Floyd was always sure that Manny would eventually slow down (because of his usually all-out attack style) and become more hittable, and that’s exactly what has happened. Mayweather never feared that he couldn’t beat Pacquiao, but he did harbor some reservation. With the fight being on I’d say it’s safe to say Floyd no longer thinks he can beat Manny – he knows it! And you better believe that’s why the fight is happening. Simply because Mayweather is convinced it’s now safe to go through with it, there’s nothing to chance.

For the past five years it’s been noted in this space that the fight would definitely happen, and when it does it’ll mostly be because Mayweather, who is a diabolical negotiator, will have received everything that he demanded in order for him to enter the ring with any advantage he can get (gloves, weight, ring size, false PED demands etc). And for that reason alone you’ve got to be crazy if you think Pacquiao, outside of a lottery punch, will win. And that is not going to happen, not in this fight.

Some will suggest that Floyd’s legs are gone and he’ll be easier for Manny to hunt and track down. And to that I say, you must not have watched his recent fights with Miguel Cotto and Canelo Alvarez all that closely, both of whom are bigger and physically stronger than Pacquiao. Mayweather didn’t use his legs and move away from them because he chose not to. He stood his ground and picked them apart on the way in, then when he wanted to, stayed in the corner and/or against the ropes and fought them evenly and in some instances beat them both at their own game.

Pacquiao, 36, is too easy to hit, and Mayweather (who will be 38 on fight night) is the last fighter in the world you want to face when that is your Achilles heel. Floyd’s straight and accurate one-twos will disrupt Manny’s aggression to the point that some will think he’s throwing the fight because he’s not pursuing Floyd as if he were a wounded animal. But the reality will be he can’t get to him, at least not enough to dominate any of the meaningful exchanges. Once Pacquiao’s punch out-put and effectiveness are reduced, then what? Manny hasn’t knocked out a single fighter since late 2009, and everyone knows Mayweather takes a terrific shot to the head and body, complemented by his ability to recuperate extremely fast.

Actually, Marcos Maidana’s crude aggression will prove to have been a bigger style conundrum for Mayweather than the success Pacquiao’s attack in spurts and waves will prove to be. And those who think Pacquiao has the more judge-friendly style will be profoundly disappointed when they see before their eyes that Pacquiao is getting hit too much to get off or on track……because Mayweather is doing just enough leading to where he’s setting Manny up for the clean counters, further neutralizing Manny’s attack.

Between now and the time Floyd and Manny meet in the ring, there will be a plethora of words spoken and articles written by so-called boxing gurus who think they have the handle on each fighters’ glove placement or foot spacing. Oh they’ll sound smart and convincing to those who don’t know or who are unsure of themselves. However, what they’ll be spewing is gibberish to try and convince you that they know more than everyone else, and some will be fooled. Such is life.

Let me spare you the time and trouble. Floyd Mayweather has the perfect body build and size, style, durability, boxing IQ and mentality to beat Manny Pacquiao on May 2nd 2015. And he will! Mayweather will beat Pacquiao by a comfortable margin on the scorecards and will control the action most of the way. I’m not sure I’d be totally shocked if Mayweather stopped Pacquiao, and I doubt Manny will be Floyd’s toughest fight.

The only way this fight can mean anything historically is if one of two things happens: if somehow Pacquiao wins (which he won’t) or if he engages in a kamikaze attack that allows Mayweather to be the beneficiary, in that it becomes an exciting fight that Floyd wins. There’s almost no chance of that happening either.

Frank Lotierzo can be contacted at GlovedFist@Gmail.com

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COMMENTS

-Skibbz :

Like the part about Floyd's negotiating Frank but I'm drawing my line in the sand right now, Pac WINS! Maidana was landing jabs on floyd, he made Floyd do a little dance, floyd doesn't hit hard enough or hard period. Pac will be all over him, floyd will make the fight as dirty as possible, you know he's got all the demands he wants and when it's in the ring all his usual tactics with elbows and clinching will be back in play at every opportunity.


-Froggy :

Like the part about Floyd's negotiating Frank but I'm drawing my line in the sand right now, Pac WINS! Maidana was landing jabs on floyd, he made Floyd do a little dance, floyd doesn't hit hard enough or hard period. Pac will be all over him, floyd will make the fight as dirty as possible, you know he's got all the demands he wants and when it's in the ring all his usual tactics with elbows and clinching will be back in play at every opportunity.
Damn right Skibbz, Pacquiao is going to make the fight and own the crowd so "if" it goes the distance the judges, even in Vegas, will have to give it to the Congressman !


-leon30001 :

That was actually a fairly convincing analysis. I'm kind of depressed now. Or tempered. Let's say tempered. Anyone know when tickets might be available? I spoke with the MGM and they're not saying!


-SouthPawFlo :

8rd-4 for Floyd with him hitting the canvass with a flash knockdown in the first 3 rounds then he dominates from 6-12. Rematch in September


-brownsugar :

Floyd is a legend no matter what. A guaranteed HOF'er. I think it speaks to Floyd's dominance as a fighter that he's viewed as the favorite at nearly 40 years old. All Floyd has to do is do his best. His spot in history is secured win or lose. May the best man win.


-the Roast :

People who say Maidana did this or that to Floyd so Manny will be able to do this or that aren't seeing the bigger picture. When a great athlete faces a lesser athlete he or she may not be totally up for the match. But when a great athlete is facing another great athlete, a truly worthwhile adversary, that great athlete will be primed and ready. The best bring out the best in each other. Both fighters know they will be remembered by this fight, past their primes or not. There is no rematch clause. One fight for all the marbles. Only in boxing does it get this good. There is no next season. On May 2nd we will have the answer.


-King Beef :

People who say Maidana did this or that to Floyd so Manny will be able to do this or that aren't seeing the bigger picture. When a great athlete faces a lesser athlete he or she may not be totally up for the match. But when a great athlete is facing another great athlete, a truly worthwhile adversary, that great athlete will be primed and ready. The best bring out the best in each other. Both fighters know they will be remembered by this fight, past their primes or not. There is no rematch clause. One fight for all the marbles. Only in boxing does it get this good. There is no next season. On May 2nd we will have the answer.
Good point Roast, on top of that, 2 different styles , and I highly doubt Pac is gonna come in fight night weighing damn near super middleweight territory, and bull rushing in to do "whatevers necessary" like Maidana. Pac's not that guy. I got a funny feeling these 2 are gonna cancel each other out, and it gonna come down to the little intangibles. ( which I think Mayweather has an advantage) But hopefully we will get all the answers we need May 2nd.


-the Roast :

Good point Roast, on top of that, 2 different styles , and I highly doubt Pac is gonna come in fight night weighing damn near super middleweight territory, and bull rushing in to do "whatevers necessary" like Maidana. Pac's not that guy. I got a funny feeling these 2 are gonna cancel each other out, and it gonna come down to the little intangibles. ( which I think Mayweather has an advantage) But hopefully we will get all the answers we need May 2nd.
Yep. Same can be said for Manny. I'm sure he wasn't super thrilled to fight Brandon Rios. Both Fighters will fight for history this time.


-Chris L :

I always thought Mayweather would win, but he's going to have to be much more active than he usually is. Pac will really push the fight to him, and judges may prefer that increased activity over Mayweathers counter punching/pot shotting. Can't wait, wish I could be in Vegas for it.


-Brad :

Frank may be correct about the fight being an one-sided in favor of Floyd but I have a hard swallowing some of the reasons. He reasons that Manny can't "hunt down" Mayweather because Canelo and Cotto didn't. So what? Canelo and Cotto have things in common with each other but they have nothing in common with Pacquiao. Canelo is a slow plodding fighter with horrible footwork. There is no fluidity to his attacks. He slowly comes at opponents, delivers predictable punches then resets. A robot. Cotto's better days were long before Mayweather and he was a body attacking, trade inside type fighter. Never known for being supper quick. Pac is. A quick southpaw that comes at you from all angles. Also the suggestion that the crude aggression of Maidana is harder to stop than a fast talented fighter like Pacquiao is absurd at best. Devon Alexander had zero problems with the crude aggression of Maidana. As a matter of fact he practically shut him out. If the off balance, crude punching Maidana can get off on you, then maybe you're not a defensive genius anymore. Benitez was also a defensive genius,like Floyd, until he wasn't. Wilfred gave Leonard,Hearns and Duran fits. But once that hundredth of a second processing abandons a defensive fighter, he's in trouble. Not even a year after slipping Duran shots, Benitez was getting pummeled by the "crude" Mustfa Hamsho. Then getting caught by the likes of Davey Moore and Matthew Hilton. I think Floyd getting hit by those punches of Maidana,that he threw from his waist and took what seemed like minutes to get to Floyd's chin, means something. Again Frank may be right, and I would not bet against Floyd, but unlike Frank, I think he's in for one hell of fight.


-Domenic :

Pacquiao will be ULTRA inspired for this one. This is sort of a bad analogy, but remember Holyfield against Tyson in November 1996? His previous fight was against Bobby Czyz, and he looked awful. He looked so bad, and was knocked out by Bowe in the fight prior to Czyz, that people literally feared for his life. But he was a machine that night. He got up for Tyson and looked completely rejuvenated and fresh and young, inspired and ready. Pacquiao is the ultimate professional, but I don't think he gets up for Bradley or CA the way he will for this one. I'm picking Mayweather by decision for now, but I may change my mind. I have a sense Pacquiao may return to his Cotto/Margarito type form on 5/2, in which case it's a pick 'em.


-kidcanvas :

i disagree frank, 5 yrs ago he would of but now i think pacquaio has more left than floyd does .i think manny by tko


-Coxs Corner :

I agree with Frank and pick Mayweather to win because Floyd has the physical and stylistic advantages. Manny is a small welterweight with short arms and will have to push the fight to get inside to deliver his power. This means he will have to reach in somewhat to do so and this will leave him open to Mayweathers counters. Floyd has a good chin and Manny isnt the puncher at 147 (and it should be noted he has never weighed in at the full limit and isn't a true welterweight) that he was at 140 pounds. So in order for Manny to win he has to put in 3 minutes of work every round and force Floyd to fight him and at this stage of his career I do not think he can do that and even if he could (which he can't) it would still be a close fight.


-Radam G :

Damn right Skibbz, Pacquiao is going to make the fight and own the crowd so "if" it goes the distance the judges, even in Vegas, will have to give it to the Congressman !
Don't holla like dat. There will be no giving Da Manny anything. He will earn it. And it will be by knocking Money May da triple butterscott OUT! Holla!


-Froggy :

la like dat. There will be no giving Da Manny anything. He will earn it. And it will be by knocking Money May da triple butterscott OUT! Holla!
I will be happier than a pig in **** if you are right Radam G !


-Skibbz :

I will be I will be happier than a pig in **** if you are right Radam G !
Hahaha that made me chuckle. I think Pacquiao will win it over the distance, what a stain on Floyd's record it would be if the only person to floor him in a fight was his nemesis..


-Froggy :

Frank may be correct about the fight being an one-sided in favor of Floyd but I have a hard swallowing some of the reasons. He reasons that Manny can't "hunt down" Mayweather because Canelo and Cotto didn't. So what? Canelo and Cotto have things in common with each other but they have nothing in common with Pacquiao. Canelo is a slow plodding fighter with horrible footwork. There is no fluidity to his attacks. He slowly comes at opponents, delivers predictable punches then resets. A robot. Cotto's better days were long before Mayweather and he was a body attacking, trade inside type fighter. Never known for being supper quick. Pac is. A quick southpaw that comes at you from all angles. Also the suggestion that the crude aggression of Maidana is harder to stop than a fast talented fighter like Pacquiao is absurd at best. Devon Alexander had zero problems with the crude aggression of Maidana. As a matter of fact he practically shut him out. If the off balance, crude punching Maidana can get off on you, then maybe you're not a defensive genius anymore. Benitez was also a defensive genius,like Floyd, until he wasn't. Wilfred gave Leonard,Hearns and Duran fits. But once that hundredth of a second processing abandons a defensive fighter, he's in trouble. Not even a year after slipping Duran shots, Benitez was getting pummeled by the "crude" Mustfa Hamsho. Then getting caught by the likes of Davey Moore and Matthew Hilton. I think Floyd getting hit by those punches of Maidana,that he threw from his waist and took what seemed like minutes to get to Floyd's chin, means something. Again Frank may be right, and I would not bet against Floyd, but unlike Frank, I think he's in for one hell of fight.
Benitez was my favorite fighter in the late 70's early 80's and I agree 100%, the first thing to go on great defensive fighters is their reflexes, Benitez was quite young when he lost that, Floyd is about 13 years older than Benitez was when he was finished ! Pacquiao is not Maidana and it will be very obvious May 2 !


-DaveB :

I was kind of depressed too after hearing of the signing (anticlimactic) and because of reading this article. But now you guys are getting me excited again. Five years ago this fight would have been on fire. I'm sure by May 2 it will be at least smoking and possibly hyped up to being on fire.


-marioreyesrealtor :

Pacquio's loss to Bradley was courtesy inefficient judges, and loss to Marquez is by lucky punch. After 5 years, Mayweather has decided to fight Manny not because he sees an advantage but he wants to earn that big bucks. He knows that the smell of $120 million is more than enough to compensate for a solitary loss. Pacquio by knockout.


-Froggy :

Pacquio's loss to Bradley was courtesy inefficient judges, and loss to Marquez is by lucky punch. After 5 years, Mayweather has decided to fight Manny not because he sees an advantage but he wants to earn that big bucks. He knows that the smell of $120 million is more than enough to compensate for a solitary loss. Pacquio by knockout.
Your first post and I for one agree 100% !


-marioreyesrealtor :

Frank may be correct about the fight being an one-sided in favor of Floyd but I have a hard swallowing some of the reasons. He reasons that Manny can't "hunt down" Mayweather because Canelo and Cotto didn't. So what? Canelo and Cotto have things in common with each other but they have nothing in common with Pacquiao. Canelo is a slow plodding fighter with horrible footwork. There is no fluidity to his attacks. He slowly comes at opponents, delivers predictable punches then resets. A robot. Cotto's better days were long before Mayweather and he was a body attacking, trade inside type fighter. Never known for being supper quick. Pac is. A quick southpaw that comes at you from all angles. Also the suggestion that the crude aggression of Maidana is harder to stop than a fast talented fighter like Pacquiao is absurd at best. Devon Alexander had zero problems with the crude aggression of Maidana. As a matter of fact he practically shut him out. If the off balance, crude punching Maidana can get off on you, then maybe you're not a defensive genius anymore. Benitez was also a defensive genius,like Floyd, until he wasn't. Wilfred gave Leonard,Hearns and Duran fits. But once that hundredth of a second processing abandons a defensive fighter, he's in trouble. Not even a year after slipping Duran shots, Benitez was getting pummeled by the "crude" Mustfa Hamsho. Then getting caught by the likes of Davey Moore and Matthew Hilton. I think Floyd getting hit by those punches of Maidana,that he threw from his waist and took what seemed like minutes to get to Floyd's chin, means something. Again Frank may be right, and I would not bet against Floyd, but unlike Frank, I think he's in for one hell of fight.
Well said Brad. Mayweather has now the balls to fight Pacquiao but nothing changes after 5 years - the Pacific Storm will blow him down with quickness and power punches from unimaginable directions. The Shoulder Roll defense is a liability for Manny's fists that hit on any available target. To rephrase Roach, Mayweather is now on the A-side but soon on his backside.


-Radam G :

Pacquio's loss to Bradley was courtesy inefficient judges, and loss to Marquez is by lucky punch. After 5 years, Mayweather has decided to fight Manny not because he sees an advantage but he wants to earn that big bucks. He knows that the smell of $120 million is more than enough to compensate for a solitary loss. Pacquio by knockout.
NICE! DITTO! Money matters. Holla!


-pikon :

If Floyd would engage with Pacman he would lose...Stay safe at a distance..I think that's his strategy...


-Froggy :

If Floyd would engage with Pacman he would lose...Stay safe at a distance..I think that's his strategy...
I think you are right, if he stays safe at a distance, he will lose, same as if he engages !


-Radam G :

If Floyd would engage with Pacman he would lose...Stay safe at a distance..I think that's his strategy...
I think that you are wrong. Da Manny will be able to easily pick off Money May and feint da double fudge jive outta a stay-safe-at-a-distance Lil Floyd. Money May is going to try to crowd Da Manny and go up his head with elbows and slaps. Also when Money May is not trying to crowd, he will be fighting with his back to the ropes. Da dude is going to use a lot of rope-a-doping, shoulder rolling, turning his back and head-drop folding. Da Manny is going to be all over him with 3-2-4s -- right hooks, left crosses and uppercuts off those crosses. Money May's will be a bobbling head. Plus a crippling, trembling soul from Pac-body snatching. Money May is in trouble. All the hype about him doing diz and dat will be null. Holla!


-The Commish :

Love the analogy, Frank. That's because, I, too, believe as you do. I give Pacquiao little chance to win this. But if he fights with the intention of going out on his shield, he can make an interesting fight out of it. Otherwise, laying back and trying to counter-punch and outbox the master counter-puncher and brilliant defensive specialist will get him nothing but an "L" on his record. That's L as in "LUD 12" or "LTK (round). Pacquiao can't win, other than by taking in the most amount of money any loser has ever earned. But his style can be responsible for turning this into a classic or one the history books remember only as a win for Floyd Mayweather. -Randy G.


-Radam G :

Love the analogy, Frank. That's because, I, too, believe as you do. I give Pacquiao little chance to win this. But if he fights with the intention of going out on his shield, he can make an interesting fight out of it. Otherwise, laying back and trying to counter-punch and outbox the master counter-puncher and brilliant defensive specialist will get him nothing but an "L" on his record. That's L as in "LUD 12" or "LTK (round). Pacquiao can't win, other than by taking in the most amount of money any loser has ever earned. But his style can be responsible for turning this into a classic or one the history books remember only as a win for Floyd Mayweather. -Randy G.
You and F-Lo are the deadhards for once was. Money May -- at 38 years old -- will be badly whupped as these 38-year-old greats were: Jack Johnson, Joe Louis, Sugar Ray Robinson, Muhammad Ali, Larry Holmes, Mike Tyson and Roy Jones, just to name a few ATGs. Styles make fights. Money May has what all the above had. But Father Time and Poppa Divine have gone sad. And at 38 years old, Money May is no longer boksing-slick mad. The Congressman from the P-Island will kayo him in six. Money May is now to slow and weak to mix. Holla!


-#1PacFan :

Manny by split decision or 9th too.


-#1PacFan :

Guess who's back? Looks like my fellow p4p readers still on this great site!!


-#1 PacFan :

Yes! Got into my original account woohoo! Hey guys!


-#1 PacFan :

Mayweather waited long enough haha. Most if us predicted it. May was going to wait til Manny fights all the tough fights so he will slow down a bit. I think this fight still be competitive at this stage of their careers. Floyd is the fresher fighter tho because of his handpicked opponents. I don't see Manny that much of an underdog as experts put himself out to be. This is for all the marbles. Let's get it on!


-the Roast :

Yes! Got into my original account woohoo! Hey guys!
Oh hell no?!? One of the OG's is back?!? Tell me I'm not dreaming.


-#1 PacFan :

What's up Roasts! You aren't dreaming. I'm back! I have been waiting for this fight for the longest and now its finally here. I was thinking I have to go back to TSS with all of the guys to mix it up again. How ya been.


-the Roast :

What's up Roasts! You aren't dreaming. I'm back! I have been waiting for this fight for the longest and now its finally here. I was thinking I have to go back to TSS with all of the guys to mix it up again. How ya been.
I been good. I been here talking boxing and entertaining all the Roast fans out there worldwide. Where if the F have you been? It takes the overdue fight of the century to bring you back? We have missed you. I hope you are back for good. It should be fun leading up to MayPac. Better late than never it's on like Donkey Kong.


-#1 PacFan :

Boxing talk you were always great at and so does many on this site. I've been so busy with work and real life bro. I have been meaning to stop by but I had a hard time logging in. Man can you imagine the press conference for the FIGHT? Can Floyd get under Manny's skin lmbo. Will Manny smile all the way thru fight night? If Manny is pushed to the limit will he use it at fight night?(Pac-Hatton). Lots to discuss brother.