PREDICTION: Mayweather Will Fight Pacquiao, Probably in 2016

On September 14th of last year Floyd Mayweather won a majority decision over junior middleweight Saul Alvarez. He followed that up on May 3rd of this year with a majority decision over former junior welterweight title holder Marcos Maidana. And this past weekend on September 13th, Floyd won a unanimous decision over Maidana in their much hyped rematch. That’s three fights inside of one calendar year for Mayweather, which is much busier than the one or two fights a year he was averaging prior to 2013.

During his in ring post fight interview he immediately gave a shout-out to boxing fans saying that they won’t see him in the ring again until May of next year, eight months from now. He was then asked if perhaps we might see him fighting Manny Pacquiao the next time he fights. To which he responded, “I’m going to go back and talk to my team and assess the situation. I’m not ducking and dodging no one. If the Manny Pacquiao fight makes sense, let’s make it happen. He has some business to take care of. Once he gets past that guy [Chris Algieri on Nov. 22], we’ll see what the future holds.”

Mayweather’s answer sheds light on two things that by now are pretty easy to interpret and read through the tea leaves. For starters, by him saying that “I’m not ducking and dodging no one” after being asked about fighting Pacquiao, that tells you that he’s aware that most clear-thinking media and fans view him as the biggest reason why he and Pacquiao haven’t yet met in the ring. They understand that it’s been Floyd who has been moving the goal post and injecting a new stipulation every time it appeared that maybe the fight was close to being made. Okay, so we know Mayweather is touchy and insecure about how he’s thought of when it comes to why he and Pacquiao haven’t fought.

The bigger issue is how Mayweather seemed open to fighting Pacquiao after the fight and then sort of changed his tune the next day. And that was all contrived on Mayweather’s part. Mayweather no longer holds any trepidation or doubt that he can beat Pacquiao the way I believe he once did. And yes, they are going to fight before Floyd retires as long as he doesn’t lose in his next two bouts.

The reason why Mayweather seemed receptive regarding a bout with Pacquiao in May is because he wants to keep his name out there and fresh in the mind of the social media faction. His words have already injected new enthusiasm and speculation by those who act as if their life won’t be complete unless they witness Mayweather vs. Pacquiao. Floyd knows there’s a lot of fans who feel that way and for the next six months or so he will lead many fans and media around the way a dog follows his owner when he has a Milkbone in his hand. Mayweather will post on the Internet pictures of his cars, betting slips, stacks of cash and him getting a sponge bath. He’ll make ridiculous comments about Ray Rice, Johnny Manziel and other athletes or celebrities who are in the news. Mayweather will tease the media and fans with the thought that he’s considering fighting Pacquiao next, but that’s all it will be, just a tease so his name stays out there.

The fact that Mayweather-Pacquiao is still considered a super-fight is a joke. In fact, I’m not convinced that Mayweather is still the best pound for pound fighter in boxing. I think Andre Ward, Guillermo Rigondeaux and Roman Gonzales have a case to be above Floyd circa May 2014. However, an overwhelming amount of media, who will hype it, and fans, who will buy it, think Mayweather-Pacquiao is a big deal and legitimate super-fight. And Mayweather knows this as well as anybody. As it’s been said in this space before – Mayweather-Pacquiao will become a reality because there is just too much money involved. In addition to that both fighters are extremely confident that they can beat the other. I believe Pacquiao has always felt that way and believe Mayweather wasn’t entirely convinced until about two years ago. But none of that matters now. Because Floyd is certain he can beat Manny now and he knows that he really does have to face him before he retires.

Mayweather doesn’t care that he’ll be fighting a version of Pacquiao that’ll be close to six or seven years past his prime and that he’ll be a couple years past his. All he cares about is if he wins and how much will he be paid. Floyd is now certain that he’ll win and that he’ll receive the biggest purse of his career in what will most likely be his 50th professional bout. Retiring 50-0 has a really golden ring to it!

If you believe that Mayweather and Pacquiao are never going to fight, assuming Mayweather doesn’t lose before his 50th bout, you’re not in touch with reality nor have you figured out how Floyd operates. Pacquiao can lose in the interim and it wouldn’t change a thing. Pacquiao lost back to back fights in 2012 to Timothy Bradley and Juan Manuel Marquez. Had he signed to fight Mayweather after getting knocked out face first by Marquez, it still would’ve been the highest grossing fight in history. So have no fear, as long as Floyd remains undefeated, Mayweather-Pacquiao will remain a viable super fight in terms of media hype and the money it will generate.

Here’s what you can be sure of. Mayweather will look to keep Pacquiao’s name out there until his next fight is announced, and it won’t be against Pacquiao. It’ll most likely be against Amir Khan or Danny Garcia. Whichever one of them doesn’t get Floyd in his 48th fight will probably get him in his 49th. That is unless Chris Algieri beats Pacquiao, then Mayweather will fight him instead of one of them. For his 50th bout, Mayweather will agree to fight Pacquiao after making Manny conform and submit to every faux stipulation that he demands, just so he can once again enter the ring having won the first three rounds before his hands are wrapped on the night of the fight.

Yes, Mayweather and Pacquiao are going to meet, probably in 2016. And once Floyd has signed the contract, you have to know that there’s no chance Pacquiao will be the winner. Because if there was a legitimate chance, aside from a sniper being in the rafters with his aim on Pacquiao, Mayweather would’ve never agreed to the bout. Mayweather knows that his career could withstand any type of setback except him losing to Pacquiao. So you can take it to the bank that if Mayweather is all in and going through with the fight, Pacquiao’s chances to be victorious are non-existent. And that’s the way it was always going to be.

Can you imagine a less relevant super-fight than Mayweather-Pacquiao in 2016?

Frank Lotierzo can be contacted at GlovedFist@Gmail.com

WATCH RELATED VIDEOS ON BOXINGCHANNEL.TV

COMMENTS

-brownsugar :

Mayweather cannot continue to fight public opinion, the press, and litigate his lawsuits. He's as conflicted as the character who played the Gay Christian Vampire Reverend on HBO's "True Blood". According to an article I read Warren Buffet was advised not to participate in Floyds ring walk after the fight. Others are calling for a Floyd Boycott...and the movement is gradually gaining traction My daughter who normally watches all of Floyds fights didn't even watch the last one. Floyd has had an amazing career as well as made some amazing mistakes but I cannot comprehend Floyd fighting (and winning against top talent) in 2016, Heavy is the head who wears the P4P Crown. It will be interesting to see what kind of note he can close out his career on.


-Radam G :

In the 2016 Olympic Games against one another. Pros will be able to scrap in Brazil in O-Games in 2016. Doc Wladimir K says that he will rumble in the O-Games. Maybe with D-Wild will be representing the USA, and even B-Ware will be representing Haiti. Holla!


-deepwater2 :

Floyd will retire soon enough and will never fight his nemesis, The honorable congressman ,MP. Those Money Hungry girls Floyd pays off are aging him. LITT Floyd Mayweather. Long In The Tooth.


-New York Tony :

I don't think the fight will happen. But if it does, it will be more than irrelevant - it will be among the biggest (and certainly among the most cynical) ripoffs in the history of the sweet science. We all check expiration dates before plunking down our money, at least when it comes to cans of soup or jugs of milk. But not when it comes to boxing matches. Anyway, casual fans don't, not those so misguided and uninformed that they've actually bought into Mayweather's TBE nonsense, an act that's about as fresh as Lawrence Welk and his bubbles. This fight should have taken place three or four years ago. It didn't, precisely because Mayweather knows he would have lost, though it's true that he'd almost certainly win today (or in 2016) - a victory that would prove exactly nothing.


-Radam G :

I don't think the fight will happen. But if it does, it will be more than irrelevant - it will be among the biggest (and certainly among the most cynical) ripoffs in the history of the sweet science. We all check expiration dates before plunking down our money, at least when it comes to cans of soup or jugs of milk. But not when it comes to boxing matches. Anyway, casual fans don't, not those so misguided and uninformed that they've actually bought into Mayweather's TBE nonsense, an act that's about as fresh as Lawrence Welk and his bubbles. This fight should have taken place three or four years ago. It didn't, precisely because Mayweather knows he would have lost, though it's true that he'd almost certainly win today (or in 2016) - a victory that would prove exactly nothing.
He would not win today, or the fight would be. In 2016, at 39 years old, he would not win in 12 rounds. He might in that three rounds of fighting in the O-Games. Holla!


-Froggy :

He would not win today, or the fight would be. In 2016, at 39 years old, he would not win in 12 rounds. He might in that three rounds of fighting in the O-Games. Holla!
I just want to be sure RG, you mean Mayweather would not win, right ?


-Radam G :

No doubt! Mayweather would get KTFO! He could never stay more than five rounds with 3m/Da Manny. Now Money May might can beat Da Manny in the three-round fights of the 2016 O-games of Brazil. Holla!


-Froggy :

No doubt! Mayweather would get KTFO! He could never stay more than five rounds with 3m/Da Manny. Now Money May might can beat Da Manny in the three-round fights of the 2016 O-games of Brazil. Holla!
That is music to my ears, thanks RG !


-SouthPawFlo :

If I'm not Mistaken Manny P has been KO'd 3 times in his Career and Floyd has never lost right??????


-Radam G :

If I'm not Mistaken Manny P has been KO'd 3 times in his Career and Floyd has never lost right??????
That has nothing to do with them fighting. Your mad man luv for Money May is lacking commonsense now. Holla!


-Skibbz :

Yes it will happen and it will be a great night of boxing. I only hope the undercard is on par with the main event. Anyone who can should purchase seats ringside, it will be a phenomenal event without equal in this era without a doubt.


-Radam G :

If I'm not Mistaken Manny P has been KO'd 3 times in his Career and Floyd has never lost right??????
"Floyd" has never officially lost. But he got beaten in the actuality of the reality by JL Castillo in Bout I. And he lost to Cotto in Bout I. And if he fights 3m/Da Manny, he will lose in Bout I, II and III. Styles make fights. And ev'ybodee and dey momma who don't not have overbearing man luv for Lil' Floyd know that he has a tough time with southpaws. Three out of four southpaws that he fought knocked him on his arse and/or carved up he mug. Holla at the videos. There are no optical illusions about these things. Holla!


-Froggy :

If I'm not Mistaken Manny P has been KO'd 3 times in his Career and Floyd has never lost right??????
I thought Oscar beat him also !


-michigan400 :

Few days late and a few million short. But,,, I think we have gone from a 50/50 fight in 2009, to a "pretty sure" Floyd victory in 2012, now back closer to 50/50 after Mayweather had trouble with Chino in the 1st fight and looked stiff and off in the second (compared to his usual self anyway). If Maidana can push him like that and land punches, Pac WILL get some shots in and they WILL hurt. I think it's back to 50/50 if Pac looks good against CA.


-The Good Doctor :

"Floyd" has never officially lost. But he got beaten in the actuality of the reality by JL Castillo in Bout I. And he lost to Cotto in Bout I. And if he fights 3m/Da Manny, he will lose in Bout I, II and III. Styles make fights. And ev'ybodee and dey momma who don't not have overbearing man luv for Lil' Floyd know that he has a tough time with southpaws. Three out of four southpaws that he fought knocked him on his arse and/or carved up he mug. Holla at the videos. There are no optical illusions about these things. Holla!
Interesting take there Radam. I have watched the Castillo fight and I cannot say that Floyd won that fight. I am not so sure he lost, but he did not win it. I did find it interesting that Lederman who is a pretty good scorer had it for Castillo 7-5 and he said he thought it was pretty obvious. As for Cotto, again I will state that Cotto is my dude and I am the #1 Cotto fan. However, as bad as I wanted him to beat Floyd and as competitive a fight as it was, Floyd took it. What made that one pretty clear was that Floyd closed the show in that fight. He took Cotto to the woodshed in 11 and 12. I also see that alot of people think Oscar beat Floyd which I think is ridiculous. That one was a clear 8-4 in my eyes. What say you on that one Mr. G?


-thegreyman :

If I'm not Mistaken Manny P has been KO'd 3 times in his Career and Floyd has never lost right??????
So?


-amayseng :

If I'm not Mistaken Manny P has been KO'd 3 times in his Career and Floyd has never lost right??????
What does that have to do with styles and matchups? In fact JLC beat him in their first fight. Just because 3 judges saw it one way does not mean they got it right. Everyone else in the world saw JLC beat Floyd.


-SouthPawFlo :

Sometimes as sports fans we base our opinions with our hearts and not our heads, I can personally say that I've been guilty of that many times before. Ever fighter has flaws and certain things that give them trouble. Manny P is an excellent swarmer and throws tons of punches from a lot of different angles and his footwork is Stellar, but he's had trouble with Counter-Punchers with Great Timing, if you look at the Morale Fight he lost and the 4 Marquez fights you'll see evidence of that, Floyd just happens to be better at timing and counters than both Morales and Marquez... Floyd on the other hand has had a history of getting caught by southpaws and he's not the busiest fighter so you can steal rounds against him by outworking him & constant pressure, and those are Things that Manny P can bring... Pac Man throwing 70-80 punches a round from all over the place can give Floyd problems... I can see them fighting at this stage being a "pick Em" fight in my opinion, but to suggest that Manny Would KO Floyd after he went 24 Rounds with Timmy B and didn't KO him and Bradley is 10X easier to catch than Floyd or to Suggest that Floyd would Dominate Pac after seeing him Struggle with the Caveman Maidana is an opinion based on your heart and not your "Smarts!"


-Froggy :

You are right about that SouthPawFlo, I have lost a few dollars betting with my heart instead of my head !


-oubobcat :

I just don't see Pacquiao and Mayweather happening. I guess anything is possible but if they couldn't get it done five years ago when everyone would have made a boat load of money its hard to envision the fight ever happening. Just too many obstacles to overcome...From tv issues, to promoter issues, to drug testing, to who gets paid how much, etc just does not seem feasible to occur. Ever...


-The Commish :

If I'm not Mistaken Manny P has been KO'd 3 times in his Career and Floyd has never lost right??????
Radam is going with his homeboy, just as I am going with my homeboy, Chris Algieri, on November 22, against Da' Manny. After Algieri beats Da' Manny on November 22, then beats him in a 2015 rematch, there will be no talk, no need for a $$$May v Pac-Man fight. It will only be an afterthought as boxing fans wonder what could have been six years earlier. -Randy G.


-leon30001 :

I wouldn't say considering May-Pac a superfight is a joke, Frank. Presumably you're referring to a degradation in their skill levels (Note: I ain't sayin' skill-set. Not for all the tea in China am I EVER saying skill-set...unless to point out how I ain't gonna say it). After all, Manny dominated many people's P4P no. 3, he shut out Rios, who is/was a world-level operator despite what anyone may say to the contrary, and he beat Bradley with consummate ease in the first fight, as the whole universe knows. Floyd continues to win the majority of his rounds against whoever is in front of him, and remains no. 1 P4P on the vast majority of lists. So that's probably 2 of the top 3, and defintely 2 of the top 5, P4P guys. That's still a superfight imo, even after all this time. Though not the fight it "should" have been, I'll grant you that!


-Radam G :

Interesting take there Radam. I have watched the Castillo fight and I cannot say that Floyd won that fight. I am not so sure he lost, but he did not win it. I did find it interesting that Lederman who is a pretty good scorer had it for Castillo 7-5 and he said he thought it was pretty obvious. As for Cotto, again I will state that Cotto is my dude and I am the #1 Cotto fan. However, as bad as I wanted him to beat Floyd and as competitive a fight as it was, Floyd took it. What made that one pretty clear was that Floyd closed the show in that fight. He took Cotto to the woodshed in 11 and 12. I also see that alot of people think Oscar beat Floyd which I think is ridiculous. That one was a clear 8-4 in my eyes. What say you on that one Mr. G?
I thought it was a razor close bout that "Pretty Boy" Floyd won 6-5-1. But I would not have bytched if it had been a draw or win for Big Money Oscar. Holla!


-Radam G :

Radam is going with his homeboy, just as I am going with my homeboy, Chris Algieri, on November 22, against Da' Manny. After Algieri beats Da' Manny on November 22, then beats him in a 2015 rematch, there will be no talk, no need for a $$$May v Pac-Man fight. It will only be an afterthought as boxing fans wonder what could have been six years earlier. -Randy G.
Keep "High Hopes" alive. Hehehe! Poor C-Al is dropshot pug for 3m in Macau. Holla!


-Kid Blast :


Frank, as much as I respect your opinions on boxing, I must disagree with you on this one. The only way this happens is if Pac looks terrible in his next two fights. I think Mayweather would rather go for 50-0. It's the same reason he is not a good closer. He simply is too cautionary.