Boxing fans are now counting down the hours until Winky Wright and Shane Mosley meet again. Here's what the staff at the TheSweetScience.com think is likely to happen on Saturday night.
There is nothing to suggest that Mosley can do anything different the second time around. He is too small, too inactive and too far removed from his prime to do much more than make it to the final bell. Wright by unanimous decision.
I have to go with Winky. Shane did not have a clue about how to solve Wright's style the first time around. I don't see anything changing much this time. I'm sure with Goossen in his corner he'll try a few new tricks, but Winky's an old pro. There's not a whole lot he hasn't seen. The only thing I see different is a possible knockout. Winky hurt Shane a couple of times late in their first encounter. This time he might go for the kill if Shane gets wobbled.
Ronald' Winky” Wright should be much too fast and shifty for a faded Shane Mosley. He's a clever southpaw who should outbox him easily and could stop him late. Wright is also a genuine 154 pounder, while Mosley was at his most deadly at lightweight. Despite myths to the contrary, Mosley hasn't been the same since the first Oscar De La Hoya fight. Mosley may have gotten rid of his trainer/father Jack, but Sugar Shane's chin is still much too high, a flaw he never would've developed with a better trainer. I expect to see Wright pop, move and riddle him with right left flurries, while Mosley slogs ahead and wonders where his reflexes went. I would be very surprised to see Mosley win, and can't fathom how the beefed up lightweight could possibly knock Winky out. In 1994, Wright got off the deck six or seven times against Julio Cesar Vazquez, yet still lasted the twelve round distance. This could be Mosley's last fight.
New trainer Joe Goossen has Mosley fighting like the Sugar Shane of old. More importantly, he has Mosley believing he is the Sugar Shane of old. Mosley unanimous decision.
While I do feel that we will in fact see a new and improved Mosley on November 20 courtesy of Joe Goossen's magic I still can't get past my 18 month feeling that Shane is simply a fish out of water at 154-pounds. Conversely, Winky is a career 154-pounder. Nothing was ever more obvious than what transpired on March 13. And while many figure that Winky will come in overconfident for the rematch, I believe that Dan Birmingham who has been with Wink his entire boxing lifetime will have his charge BETTER prepared than he did eight months ago. Shane will make a fight of it early on, but Wink will once again prove to be too slick, too strong . . . and two for two against Shane when all is said and done. Winky by unanimous decision.
It should be like déjà vu all over again. Winky is too solid defensively for Shane to make a dent in his armor, not that Sugar won’t try. The good boxer beats the good puncher over twelve one-sided rounds. A unanimous decision for Winky Wright.
No big changes from the first fight. Mosley, even with Joe Goossen in his corner, won't be able to figure Wright out. Besides, his confidence has to be a little shaky. Wright by easy decision.
Joe Goossen is clearly the x factor in this equation. Exhibit A, Corrales’ masterful performance in the return bout with Casamayor. As such, Mosley tempts me in this one, if I’m honest. But then the facts are the facts. Wright’s domination in their first meeting was as convincing as it was comprehensive. To ignore such is to ignore all common sense and good reason. Past experience tells me to do so leads to nothing but pained reflection. So, it will be closer than most expect, but once again it will be Wright by Decision.
Shane Mosley hasn't shown he can make adjustments when fighting an opponent for the second time. You'd think he would have learned from his mistake of taking a Vernon Forrest rematch without another fight in-between to work on new tactics or, at the very least, boost his confidence. Wright should win this bout just as easily as he won the first. Winky Wright by unanimous decision.
Saturday night Shane Mosley, 39-3 (35 KOs), will fight the 47-3 (25 KOs) Winky Wright in a rematch. Mosley goes into the fight as a 9-5 underdog. Wright has been a natural junior middleweight his entire professional career. Mosley is the harder hitter with an 81.4% to 50% kayo advantage. Even though neither fighter has ever been knocked out, if Mosley is to win he has to take that power to Wright’s body, using the speed and angles he used as a lightweight. If anyone can coach Shane back into his old style of fighting I believe Joe Goossen is the man to do it. For that reason I pick Sugar Shane to win by a close decision.
In regards to Wright/Mosley II, I see the outcome relatively the same. The good bigger man should prevail against the good smaller man. Both talented and accomplished boxers, but I feel Winky has the advantage.
Shane Mosely's effectiveness has eroded since his move up to welterweight. Winky Wright is now working through his late prime as a boxer-puncher, seeking, as he does, consummate career bouts with De La Hoya or Trinidad or Hopkins and Mosley's not the man to deny him his due. Any way you look at it, it's too little and too late for Mosley against a determined Ronald Wright. Wright UD12 Mosley.
History repeats itself. If not a fighter in decline, Mosley surely hasn't shown any recent signs of improvement. (Yes, he beat De La Hoya again, but did he look better doing it the first or the second time?) It's difficult to imagine that throwing his father overboard for Joe Goossen could be uplifting, either in Shane's mind or in his corner. Wright by decision.
If you saw the first fight, you've seen the second. Wright was simply too slick, too strong and all wrong for Shane Mosley the first time around and I expect to see much of the same in the rematch. Mosley always has answers for why he loses but will come up empty once again. Sugar Shane gets props for taking on Wright – twice – because not many top fighters will, he's too good. Wright by Decision over Mosley.
There was a time when I was very high on Shane Mosley. However, since his first fight with De La Hoya back in June of 2000, I've been forced to see that if Shane can't overwhelm his opponent physically, he doesn't adjust and doesn't win. When fighting an opponent who is bigger and stronger than he is, Mosley panics and tries to end the fight with one big punch. Shane cannot overwhelm Winky Wright physically from what I saw in their first meeting. Winky also doesn't believe he can lose, and if the first round ends up being the 13th round, Shane will start to harbor doubt and think here we go again. Mosley is a warrior and too tough to be stopped by Wright, but he'll lose. Wright by UD.
Another 12 rounds just like the first 12. Too much man, too much ability, too late discovered. Wright by decision.
I can't see past Winky in this fight, I know Shane has changed trainers and I'm sure this will lift him slightly and perhaps rebuild some confidence. You can't knock his dedication to the sport and his willingness to get back on the horse both with Winky and previously with Forrest. But I just cannot see what Mosley can do that much different, and Wright is just as cute, just as accurate and will have an answer for anything Mosley can bring to the fight. And of course only a return to the blistering speed of his lightweight reign is likely to change that. Sadly, Mosley is far removed from those halcyon days and I presume and predict he's in for another difficult night. He may start better, but ultimately Wright will outwork him over the distance for a points win.
Mosley will dominate in the early rounds and look in good form to reclaim the title. Wright’s sheer endurance and dogged determination will pull him through, however, to steal back a close decision. Wright by Decision.
You can change trainers, as Shane Mosley did, but after 43 professional fights, you can't change muscle memory. When the bell rings, the guy coming out of Mosley's corner will be the same Mosley that has only one controversial victory in his last five fights, with one no contest. Wright beat him by a combined 16 points in their last fight; there is little reason to suspect he won't do it again. Winky Wright by decision.
Wright is a throwback boxer who would have been more appreciated in an earlier age with less titles. Mosley's brilliant moves relied on a youth that has now passed. The split with his Dad is not a good sign either. Anyway you'd have to say Wright has got his number from the first fight. So it's Winky by wide points decision.
Winky has Shane completely figured out, whereas Mosley still can't fathom how to fight a sharper, busier guy who is a southpaw to boot. Wright by Unanimous Decision.