True Odds You Should Never Bet On

BY Phil Woolever ON January 26, 2010
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OUTSIDE THE GREAT VEGAS SPORTSBOOKS FOR FAR TOO LONG : Gentleman gamers and wiseguy wonders. For your consideration, here are some prognosticated punchout percentage numbers relating to potential fights, related scenarios, and warped wishful thinking. Back in the day, or was it a daze, you could get all sorts of boxing action on fights beyond just major events at shrines like Little Ceasars, Church Hill Downs and Leroys (before they went automated), including reasonable parlay prices. Guys like Herb Lambeck would sit in a cloud of cigar smoke, ready to accept unlisted propositions. It was a different era indeed, before the books became so corporate. Remember, these toteboards are slanted. Only put yaz trinkets down if you can't afford to lose.

2010 Fight of the Year to involve fighter named Mayweather or Pacquiao : 20 -80

2010 Fight of the Year to involve fighter named Adamek or Haye : better than you might think

Israel Vazquez - Rafael Marquez IV : pick 'em

Vazquez - Marquez IV to end in KO : 80 -20

Allan Green to score any points in Super Six format : 50-50 (hunger factor)

Allan Green to make Super Six finals : 5 - 95 (reality factor)

Kelly Pavlik to fight Felix Sturm : 40 -60

Kelly Pavlik - Felix Sturm : 60 - 40 Sturm

Shane Mosley - Floyd Mayweather, Jr to occur:  80-20

Mosley-Mayweather : pick 'em

Manny Pacquiao - Mayweather to occur : 90-10

Pacquiao - Mayweather: 55-45 Pacquiao

Pacquiao - Mosley: 65-35 Pacquiao

Pacquiao - Clottey : 55-45 Pacquiao

Pacquiao - Clottey to go distance : 10 - 90

Mosley-Mayweather-Pacquiao on their career best night, regardless of weight : Mayweather 37, Mosley 33, Pac 30

Amir Kahn to fight Ricky Hatton : 10-90

Kahn - Hatton : 90-10

Bernard Hopkins - Roy Jones, Jr : by all logic 95-5 Hopkins. What actually happens : 60-40 Jones

Wladimir Klitschko - Eddie Chambers: 65 - 35 Klitschko

Klitschko - Chambers if Wlad's shoulder isn't fully healed and Chambers more willing than recent challengers: 60-40 Chambers

David Haye - John Ruiz : 95-5 Haye

Haye to win by KO: 80-20

Fight to be Postponed: 50-50

Haye - Hopkins to occur : 20-80

Haye - Hopkins :  75-25 Haye

Haye - Denis Boytsov : pick 'em

Haye vs V or W Klitschko to occur in 2010 : 30 - 70

Haye vs V Klitschko : pick 'em

Haye vs W Klitschko : 70-30 Klitschko

V or W Klitschko vs Boytsov in 2010 : pick 'em

V or W Klitschko vs Boytsov after 2010 : 65-35 Boytsov

V Klitschko vs W Klitschko : Wlad down 3 times, but (just like Samuel Peter bout) still leading after 10 rounds and Vitali's eyes cut and closing when each thinks they hear mother crying and retires after round 10

Tomasz Adamek - Jason Estrada : 99-1 but Estrada gives honest effort for as long as it lasts.

Adamek to fight for "major" alphabet heavyweight belt : 75-25

Adamek - David Haye : pick 'em

Adamek - Denis Boytsov or Cristobal Arreola: heavyweight brawl of the year

Evander Holyfield - Francois Botha to be amazing event if it happens : let's hope so for the continent's sake

Holyfield - Botha : 55-45 Holyfield

Holyfield to fight after Botha bout : 75-25

Botha to fight past 2011 : 80-20

Oscar de la Hoya comeback fight : 70-30

Felix Trinidad comeback fight : 30-70

Trinidad- de la Hoya II to occur : 1-99

Trinidad - de la Hoya II worth watching : 99-1

James Toney to actually fight in UFC   20 -80

Toney - any solid MMA ftr : 10-90

Toney - Kimbo Slice : 40- 60

Toney - Herschel Walker probably worth seeing in octagon : 25 - 75

Toney - Walker probably worth seeing in parking lot : 90-10

Floyd Mayweather Jr best boxer of past 50 years : 40-60, but probably too late to prove it

Manny Pacquiao best boxer of past 50 years : 30-70, but could still prove to be

Roberto Duran best boxer in past 50 years : 10-90

George Foreman best boxer in past 50 years : 5-95, but got probably best karma out of the 5%

Muhammad Ali best boxer in past 50 years : damn near

Sugar Ray Leonard best boxer in past 50 years : you read it here

Media meatheads will refer to boxing as dying sport year after year after year : 100 - 0

Boxing to die : 0-100

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